Sat, Feb 14 2026 • 14:00 • Windmill Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.74 (league 1.71) 0.43 (league 1.47)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
68.9% 21.7% 8.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
19.9%
2 - 0
17.3%
0 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Cwmbran Celtic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Llantwit Major 0 11.4% 4.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.9% 8.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.3% 7.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.0% 4.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLlantwit MajorCwmbran Celtic
Played55
Form40%13%
Attack29%36%
Defense64%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

78%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Llantwit Major Cwmbran Celtic
HATHAT
Played991881119
Wins44%0%22%0%0%0%
Draws33%67%50%25%27%26%
Loses22%33%28%75%73%74%

Form: Llantwit Major: LLDLDWDLDWWDDWDLDD • Cwmbran Celtic: LLLLDDLDLLLLLLDLDLL

League goals

Metric Llantwit Major Cwmbran Celtic
HATHAT
GF total1010205813
GF avg1.11.11.10.60.70.7
GA total81422173047
GA avg0.91.61.22.12.72.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLlantwit MajorCwmbran Celtic
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%72%47%100%
1.533%44%21%79%
2.56%6%0%26%
3.50%0%0%26%
4.50%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLlantwit MajorCwmbran Celtic
HATHAT
Clean sheets415000
Failed to score3254610

Penalties

MetricLlantwit MajorCwmbran Celtic
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricLlantwit MajorCwmbran Celtic
Wins20
Draws22
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-0———
Biggest losses0-22-00-47-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against2347

Model comparison

MetricLlantwit MajorCwmbran Celtic
Form75%25%
Att44%56%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total60.2%39.8%

Advice: Double chance : Llantwit Major or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.35 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.75 @ Superbet
Away10.20 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.77 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.20 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.18 @ 1xBet
No1.65 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Llantwit Major = 1.74 (league 1.71), Cwmbran Celtic = 0.43 (league 1.47)

Cwmbran Celtic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Llantwit Major 0 11.4% 4.9% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.9% 8.5% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 17.3% 7.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 10.0% 4.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 4.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 68.9% · Draw 21.7% · Away win 8.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1