Tue, Mar 24 2026 • 19:45 • Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.91 (league 1.70) 0.84 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.4% 21.5% 15.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.2%
2 - 0
11.7%
1 - 1
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
Cwmbran Celtic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baglan Dragons 0 6.4% 5.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.2% 10.2% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.8% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.5% 6.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.6% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBaglan DragonsCwmbran Celtic
Played55
Form20%7%
Attack75%100%
Defense0%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.614 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Baglan Dragons Cwmbran Celtic
HATHAT
Played121527111324
Wins25%13%19%0%0%0%
Draws33%27%30%18%31%25%
Loses42%60%52%82%69%75%

Form: Baglan Dragons: WLDLDDDLLDDLWWLLWDDLLLLWLLL • Cwmbran Celtic: LLLLDDLDLLLLLLDLDLLLLLLD

League goals

Metric Baglan Dragons Cwmbran Celtic
HATHAT
GF total169259918
GF avg1.30.60.90.80.70.8
GA total212243283361
GA avg1.81.51.62.52.52.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBaglan DragonsCwmbran Celtic
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%78%54%96%
1.522%41%21%79%
2.515%26%0%38%
3.50%11%0%25%
4.50%4%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBaglan DragonsCwmbran Celtic
HATHAT
Clean sheets246011
Failed to score57124711

Penalties

MetricBaglan DragonsCwmbran Celtic
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricBaglan DragonsCwmbran Celtic
Wins20
Draws32
Losses46

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-2——
Biggest losses0-54-10-47-0
Goals For3222
Goals Against5457

Model comparison

MetricBaglan DragonsCwmbran Celtic
Form75%25%
Att38%63%
Def52%48%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h85%15%
Goals61%39%
Total63.3%36.8%

Advice: Double chance : Baglan Dragons or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Bet365
Draw4.35 @ Pinnacle
Away5.81 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.10 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.76 @ Marathonbet
No1.95 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Baglan Dragons = 1.91 (league 1.70), Cwmbran Celtic = 0.84 (league 1.51)

Cwmbran Celtic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baglan Dragons 0 6.4% 5.4% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 12.2% 10.2% 4.3% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.7% 9.8% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.5% 6.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.6% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.4% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.4% · Draw 21.5% · Away win 15.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1