Sun, Mar 1 2026 • 14:00 • Newport Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.71) 0.75 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.7% 35.5% 29.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
20.5%
1 - 0
17.2%
0 - 1
15.4%
Score & goals probability table
Carmarthen Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport City 0 20.5% 15.4% 5.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.2% 12.8% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.2% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewport CityCarmarthen Town
Played55
Form47%53%
Attack24%47%
Defense71%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 18 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newport City Carmarthen Town
HATHAT
Played111122131023
Wins36%36%36%31%40%35%
Draws55%27%41%54%30%43%
Loses9%36%23%15%30%22%

Form: Newport City: WWDDDWWLDLWDDLDWDDLLWW • Carmarthen Town: WWDWDLDWDDWWDLDLLDDWDLW

League goals

Metric Newport City Carmarthen Town
HATHAT
GF total121628111425
GF avg1.11.51.30.81.41.1
GA total91625101323
GA avg0.81.51.10.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewport CityCarmarthen Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%73%70%61%
1.541%27%22%26%
2.514%9%9%13%
3.50%5%9%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewport CityCarmarthen Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets336549
Failed to score336437

Penalties

MetricNewport CityCarmarthen Town
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total12

Streaks

MetricNewport CityCarmarthen Town
Wins22
Draws32
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-32-10-4
Biggest losses0-12-00-23-0
Goals For2324
Goals Against2423

Model comparison

MetricNewport CityCarmarthen Town
Form47%53%
Att33%67%
Def62%38%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h25%75%
Goals43%57%
Total43.0%57.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Carmarthen Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.05 @ William Hill
Draw3.46 @ Pinnacle
Away3.30 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Marathonbet
No2.05 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newport City = 0.83 (league 1.71), Carmarthen Town = 0.75 (league 1.50)

Carmarthen Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport City 0 20.5% 15.4% 5.7% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
1 17.2% 12.8% 4.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 7.2% 5.4% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.7% · Draw 35.5% · Away win 29.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1