Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 19:30 • Ammanford Recreation Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.58 (league 1.71) 0.81 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.9% 25.3% 19.2%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.5%
1 - 1
11.8%
2 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Cardiff Draconians
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ammanford AFC 0 9.2% 7.5% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.5% 11.8% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.3% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.0% 4.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAmmanford AFCCardiff Draconians
Played55
Form27%40%
Attack18%32%
Defense50%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ammanford AFC Cardiff Draconians
HATHAT
Played11122391322
Wins64%33%48%67%31%45%
Draws27%42%35%0%15%9%
Loses9%25%17%33%54%45%

Form: Ammanford AFC: WWDWDWLDDDWDWDWWWWLLDWL • Cardiff Draconians: LLLWWDWWWDWLWLWLLWLWLL

League goals

Metric Ammanford AFC Cardiff Draconians
HATHAT
GF total201232171633
GF avg1.81.01.41.91.21.5
GA total111021102030
GA avg1.00.80.91.11.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAmmanford AFCCardiff Draconians
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%52%73%73%
1.535%22%50%36%
2.517%13%23%18%
3.54%4%5%5%
4.54%0%0%5%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAmmanford AFCCardiff Draconians
HATHAT
Clean sheets4711246
Failed to score246336

Penalties

MetricAmmanford AFCCardiff Draconians
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricAmmanford AFCCardiff Draconians
Wins43
Draws31
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-33-01-3
Biggest losses0-43-10-25-2
Goals For6343
Goals Against4335

Model comparison

MetricAmmanford AFCCardiff Draconians
Form40%60%
Att36%64%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution63%37%
H2h100%0%
Goals83%17%
Total52.8%47.2%

Advice: Double chance : Ammanford AFC or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ William Hill
Draw3.95 @ Pinnacle
Away4.60 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.08 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Marathonbet
No2.10 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ammanford AFC = 1.58 (league 1.71), Cardiff Draconians = 0.81 (league 1.48)

Cardiff Draconians
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ammanford AFC 0 9.2% 7.5% 3.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.5% 11.8% 4.8% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 11.4% 9.3% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.0% 4.9% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.4% 1.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.9% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 19.2%

vtt 1 , vtd1