Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 19:30 • Newport Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.99 (league 1.71) 0.37 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.2% 36.1% 13.7%
best score tips
0 - 0
25.8%
1 - 0
25.4%
2 - 0
12.5%
Score & goals probability table
Baglan Dragons
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport City 0 25.8% 9.5% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.4% 9.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.5% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewport CityBaglan Dragons
Played55
Form47%7%
Attack32%5%
Defense64%59%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.41 | 0.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newport City Baglan Dragons
HATHAT
Played121123111223
Wins33%36%35%27%8%17%
Draws58%27%43%36%33%35%
Loses8%36%22%36%58%48%

Form: Newport City: WWDDDWWLDLWDDLDWDDLLWWD • Baglan Dragons: WLDLDDDLLDDLWWLLWDDLLLL

League goals

Metric Newport City Baglan Dragons
HATHAT
GF total16163216622
GF avg1.31.51.41.50.51.0
GA total131629161632
GA avg1.11.51.31.51.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewport CityBaglan Dragons
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%74%57%74%
1.543%30%22%39%
2.517%13%17%22%
3.54%9%0%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewport CityBaglan Dragons
HATHAT
Clean sheets336246
Failed to score3364610

Penalties

MetricNewport CityBaglan Dragons
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricNewport CityBaglan Dragons
Wins22
Draws33
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-33-00-1
Biggest losses0-12-00-33-0
Goals For4331
Goals Against4443

Model comparison

MetricNewport CityBaglan Dragons
Form88%13%
Att88%13%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h80%20%
Goals62%38%
Total73.7%26.7%

Advice: Double chance : Newport City or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.64 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.82 @ Pinnacle
Away5.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.93 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.95 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ William Hill
No1.83 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newport City = 0.99 (league 1.71), Baglan Dragons = 0.37 (league 1.48)

Baglan Dragons
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport City 0 25.8% 9.5% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 25.4% 9.4% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.5% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 4.1% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.2% · Draw 36.1% · Away win 13.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1