Fri, Mar 6 2026 • 19:45 • The Montgomery Waters Latham Park Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
5.09 (league 1.73) 1.53 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
49.1% 6.1% 4.6%
best score tips
5 - 1
5.8%
4 - 1
5.7%
3 - 1
4.5%
Score & goals probability table
Gresford Athletic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newtown AFC 0 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
2 1.7% 2.6% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.9% 4.5% 3.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.7% 5.7% 4.4% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
5 3.8% 5.8% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewtown AFCGresford Athletic
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack14%41%
Defense77%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newtown AFC Gresford Athletic
HATHAT
Played10112114923
Wins70%45%57%43%11%30%
Draws20%9%14%14%22%17%
Loses10%45%29%43%67%52%

Form: Newtown AFC: WWWDWLWWLWWWWDLDLLLWW • Gresford Athletic: LWLDLWLLLDLLLDLDWWLWLWW

League goals

Metric Newtown AFC Gresford Athletic
HATHAT
GF total221638201939
GF avg2.21.51.81.42.11.7
GA total111627343670
GA avg1.11.51.32.44.03.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewtown AFCGresford Athletic
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%81%83%87%
1.557%38%43%74%
2.529%10%30%48%
3.514%0%13%35%
4.55%0%0%26%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewtown AFCGresford Athletic
HATHAT
Clean sheets314303
Failed to score145314

Penalties

MetricNewtown AFCGresford Athletic
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricNewtown AFCGresford Athletic
Wins42
Draws11
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-12-53-02-3
Biggest losses0-33-00-77-1
Goals For4534
Goals Against3378

Model comparison

MetricNewtown AFCGresford Athletic
Form40%60%
Att25%75%
Def69%31%
Poisson Distribution74%26%
H2h100%0%
Goals83%17%
Total58.2%41.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Newtown AFC or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.70 @ Pinnacle
Away5.22 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ William Hill
No2.41 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.75 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newtown AFC = 5.09 (league 1.73), Gresford Athletic = 1.53 (league 1.51)

Gresford Athletic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newtown AFC 0 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 0.7% 1.0% 0.8% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
2 1.7% 2.6% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.9% 4.5% 3.4% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
4 3.7% 5.7% 4.4% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3%
5 3.8% 5.8% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 49.1% · Draw 6.1% · Away win 4.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1