Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 14:00 •
Cae Baker
Expected Goals
2.48 (league 1.71)
1.37 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 57.6% | 18.4% | 19.7% |
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
3 - 1
7.4%
1 - 1
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
| Holyhead Hotspur | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Penrhyncoch | 0 | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Penrhyncoch | Holyhead Hotspur |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 47% |
| Attack | 38% | 33% |
| Defense | 48% | 76% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 7 | 1.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.90
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
69%
FT probability
3.5+
49%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Penrhyncoch | Holyhead Hotspur | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 11 | 12 | 23 | 12 | 12 | 24 |
| Wins | 27% | 17% | 22% | 50% | 8% | 29% |
| Draws | 18% | 25% | 22% | 17% | 25% | 21% |
| Loses | 55% | 58% | 57% | 33% | 67% | 50% |
Form: Penrhyncoch: DLLLDDLLLLLLWDWDLWLLWLW • Holyhead Hotspur: LLDLLDDDLLWLWWWLWLLDLWLW
League goals
| Metric | Penrhyncoch | Holyhead Hotspur | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 13 | 32 | 20 | 14 | 34 |
| GF avg | 1.7 | 1.1 | 1.4 | 1.7 | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| GA total | 19 | 28 | 47 | 14 | 30 | 44 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 2.5 | 1.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Penrhyncoch | Holyhead Hotspur | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 87% | 83% | 71% | 83% |
| 1.5 | 30% | 57% | 33% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 48% | 29% | 29% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 17% | 4% | 21% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 4% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Penrhyncoch | Holyhead Hotspur | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 7 |
Penalties
| Metric | Penrhyncoch | Holyhead Hotspur |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Penrhyncoch | Holyhead Hotspur |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-2 | 3-0 | 0-1 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-0 | 1-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 2 | 3 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Penrhyncoch | Holyhead Hotspur |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 46% | 54% |
| Att | 53% | 47% |
| Def | 31% | 69% |
| Poisson Distribution | 62% | 38% |
| H2h | 50% | 50% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 48.7% | 51.3% |
Advice: Double chance : Penrhyncoch or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Penrhyncoch = 2.48 (league 1.71), Holyhead Hotspur = 1.37 (league 1.48)
| Holyhead Hotspur | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Penrhyncoch | 0 | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 2 | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | |
| 3 | 5.4% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | |
| 4 | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.6% · Draw 18.4% · Away win 19.7%
vtt 1 , vtd1