Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 14:00 • Windmill Ground
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.61 (league 1.71) 0.67 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.7% 40.4% 31.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
27.8%
0 - 1
18.7%
1 - 0
16.9%
Score & goals probability table
Ammanford AFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Llantwit Major 0 27.8% 18.7% 6.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.9% 11.4% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.1% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLlantwit MajorAmmanford AFC
Played55
Form80%47%
Attack62%29%
Defense71%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.66 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

65%
FT probability

2.5+

46%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Llantwit Major Ammanford AFC
HATHAT
Played121325121224
Wins50%23%36%67%33%50%
Draws25%46%36%25%42%33%
Loses25%31%28%8%25%17%

Form: Llantwit Major: LLDLDWDLDWWDDWDLDDWLWLWWW • Ammanford AFC: WWDWDWLDDDWDWDWWWWLLDWLW

League goals

Metric Llantwit Major Ammanford AFC
HATHAT
GF total162137221234
GF avg1.31.61.51.81.01.4
GA total121931121022
GA avg1.01.51.21.00.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLlantwit MajorAmmanford AFC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%76%75%54%
1.544%44%38%21%
2.524%4%17%13%
3.54%0%4%4%
4.50%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLlantwit MajorAmmanford AFC
HATHAT
Clean sheets4264711
Failed to score426246

Penalties

MetricLlantwit MajorAmmanford AFC
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricLlantwit MajorAmmanford AFC
Wins24
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-46-00-3
Biggest losses0-22-00-43-1
Goals For3463
Goals Against2343

Model comparison

MetricLlantwit MajorAmmanford AFC
Form63%37%
Att68%32%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution46%54%
H2h71%29%
Goals63%38%
Total61.3%38.8%

Advice: Double chance : Llantwit Major or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ Bet365
Away2.64 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.69 @ Marathonbet
No2.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Llantwit Major = 0.61 (league 1.71), Ammanford AFC = 0.67 (league 1.48)

Ammanford AFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Llantwit Major 0 27.8% 18.7% 6.3% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0%
1 16.9% 11.4% 3.8% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.1% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.7% · Draw 40.4% · Away win 31.9%

vtt 1 , vtd1