Sat, Mar 14 2026 • 14:00 • Bush Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 1.71) 0.65 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.4% 28.9% 18.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
18.5%
0 - 0
14.2%
2 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
Pontypridd Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Treowen Stars 0 14.2% 9.2% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.5% 12.0% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.1% 7.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.3% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTreowen StarsPontypridd Town
Played55
Form33%60%
Attack29%33%
Defense57%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.88 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

85%
FT probability

2.5+

60%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Treowen Stars Pontypridd Town
HATHAT
Played101323131023
Wins40%23%30%46%10%30%
Draws30%23%26%0%40%17%
Loses30%54%43%54%50%52%

Form: Treowen Stars: LWLLDDDLLLWDLWWWWLWDLDL • Pontypridd Town: LLDLLWLDWLLLWDWDLLLWWWL

League goals

Metric Treowen Stars Pontypridd Town
HATHAT
GF total16213727633
GF avg1.61.61.62.10.61.4
GA total162945241438
GA avg1.62.22.01.81.41.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTreowen StarsPontypridd Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%78%57%78%
1.552%52%43%52%
2.517%39%17%26%
3.59%17%9%9%
4.50%9%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTreowen StarsPontypridd Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets415325
Failed to score1343710

Penalties

MetricTreowen StarsPontypridd Town
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricTreowen StarsPontypridd Town
Wins43
Draws31
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-47-01-3
Biggest losses0-54-00-43-0
Goals For3473
Goals Against5543

Model comparison

MetricTreowen StarsPontypridd Town
Form36%64%
Att46%54%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h0%100%
Goals30%70%
Total44.6%55.4%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Pontypridd Town

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Treowen Stars = 1.31 (league 1.71), Pontypridd Town = 0.65 (league 1.48)

Pontypridd Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Treowen Stars 0 14.2% 9.2% 3.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 18.5% 12.0% 3.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 12.1% 7.8% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 5.3% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.4% · Draw 28.9% · Away win 18.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1