Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 19:30 •
Princess Margaret Way
Expected Goals
0.70 (league 1.71)
1.94 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 12.6% | 20.7% | 65.3% |
best score tips
0 - 1
13.8%
0 - 2
13.4%
1 - 1
9.7%
Score & goals probability table
| Llantwit Major | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Afan Lido | 0 | 7.1% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 5.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Afan Lido | Llantwit Major |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Attack | 24% | 57% |
| Defense | 52% | 67% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 12 | 2.4 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 7 | 1.4 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
81%
FT probability
2.5+
57%
FT probability
3.5+
40%
FT probability
BTTS
71%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Afan Lido | Llantwit Major | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 13 | 12 | 25 | 13 | 13 | 26 |
| Wins | 23% | 17% | 20% | 46% | 23% | 35% |
| Draws | 15% | 8% | 12% | 23% | 46% | 35% |
| Loses | 62% | 75% | 68% | 31% | 31% | 31% |
Form: Afan Lido: LLWLWLLLDDLWLDLLLLLLLWWLL • Llantwit Major: LLDLDWDLDWWDDWDLDDWLWLWWWL
League goals
| Metric | Afan Lido | Llantwit Major | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 11 | 10 | 21 | 18 | 21 | 39 |
| GF avg | 0.8 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.6 | 1.5 |
| GA total | 24 | 27 | 51 | 15 | 19 | 34 |
| GA avg | 1.8 | 2.3 | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Afan Lido | Llantwit Major | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 44% | 92% | 77% | 77% |
| 1.5 | 24% | 52% | 46% | 46% |
| 2.5 | 12% | 32% | 23% | 8% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 20% | 4% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 4% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Afan Lido | Llantwit Major | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 7 | 7 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Afan Lido | Llantwit Major |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 4 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 0 | 4 |
Streaks
| Metric | Afan Lido | Llantwit Major |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 2 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 7 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 3-1 | 1-4 | 3-1 | 0-4 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 6-0 | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 6 | 3 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Afan Lido | Llantwit Major |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 40% | 60% |
| Att | 29% | 71% |
| Def | 41% | 59% |
| Poisson Distribution | 24% | 76% |
| H2h | 20% | 80% |
| Goals | 27% | 73% |
| Total | 30.2% | 69.8% |
Advice: Winner : Llantwit Major
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Afan Lido = 0.70 (league 1.71), Llantwit Major = 1.94 (league 1.48)
| Llantwit Major | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Afan Lido | 0 | 7.1% | 13.8% | 13.4% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 5.0% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.6% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 65.3%
vtt 1 , vtd1