Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 19:30 •
Ammanford Recreation Ground
Expected Goals
1.37 (league 1.71)
0.40 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 61.0% | 27.8% | 10.9% |
best score tips
1 - 0
23.3%
0 - 0
17.0%
2 - 0
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Baglan Dragons | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ammanford AFC | 0 | 17.0% | 6.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.3% | 9.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.9% | 6.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ammanford AFC | Baglan Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 20% |
| Attack | 38% | 14% |
| Defense | 67% | 33% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 3 | 0.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 14 | 2.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.50
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.30
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
69%
FT probability
2.5+
49%
FT probability
3.5+
35%
FT probability
BTTS
63%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ammanford AFC | Baglan Dragons | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 12 | 13 | 25 | 12 | 13 | 25 |
| Wins | 67% | 38% | 52% | 25% | 15% | 20% |
| Draws | 25% | 38% | 32% | 33% | 31% | 32% |
| Loses | 8% | 23% | 16% | 42% | 54% | 48% |
Form: Ammanford AFC: WWDWDWLDDDWDWDWWWWLLDWLWW • Baglan Dragons: WLDLDDDLLDDLWWLLWDDLLLLWL
League goals
| Metric | Ammanford AFC | Baglan Dragons | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 22 | 15 | 37 | 16 | 8 | 24 |
| GF avg | 1.8 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| GA total | 12 | 12 | 24 | 21 | 17 | 38 |
| GA avg | 1.0 | 0.9 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 1.3 | 1.5 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ammanford AFC | Baglan Dragons | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 76% | 56% | 56% | 76% |
| 1.5 | 40% | 24% | 24% | 40% |
| 2.5 | 20% | 12% | 16% | 24% |
| 3.5 | 4% | 4% | 0% | 8% |
| 4.5 | 4% | 0% | 0% | 4% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ammanford AFC | Baglan Dragons | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 7 | 11 | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ammanford AFC | Baglan Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ammanford AFC | Baglan Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 0-3 | 3-0 | 1-2 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-1 | 0-5 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 3 | 3 | 2 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ammanford AFC | Baglan Dragons |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 77% | 23% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 67% | 33% |
| Poisson Distribution | 75% | 25% |
| H2h | 85% | 15% |
| Goals | 73% | 27% |
| Total | 75.0% | 25.0% |
Advice: Double chance : Ammanford AFC or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ammanford AFC = 1.37 (league 1.71), Baglan Dragons = 0.40 (league 1.48)
| Baglan Dragons | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ammanford AFC | 0 | 17.0% | 6.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 23.3% | 9.4% | 1.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 15.9% | 6.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 7.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.0% · Draw 27.8% · Away win 10.9%
vtt 1 , vtd1