Fri, Mar 20 2026 • 19:30 • Newport Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.66 (league 1.72) 1.28 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.6% 24.1% 29.4%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.2%
2 - 1
9.3%
1 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Treowen Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport City 0 5.3% 6.8% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
1 8.8% 11.2% 7.2% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.3% 9.3% 6.0% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.0% 5.2% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNewport CityTreowen Stars
Played55
Form27%33%
Attack32%45%
Defense45%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

90%
FT probability

2.5+

63%
FT probability

3.5+

45%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Newport City Treowen Stars
HATHAT
Played131326121325
Wins31%31%31%42%23%32%
Draws54%23%38%33%23%28%
Loses15%46%31%25%54%40%

Form: Newport City: WWDDDWWLDLWDDLDWDDLLWWDLLL • Treowen Stars: LWLLDDDLLLWDLWWWWLWDLDLDW

League goals

Metric Newport City Treowen Stars
HATHAT
GF total171633222143
GF avg1.31.21.31.81.61.7
GA total152136192948
GA avg1.21.61.41.62.21.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNewport CityTreowen Stars
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%77%84%80%
1.538%35%56%52%
2.515%15%20%36%
3.54%12%12%16%
4.50%0%0%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNewport CityTreowen Stars
HATHAT
Clean sheets336415
Failed to score358134

Penalties

MetricNewport CityTreowen Stars
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricNewport CityTreowen Stars
Wins24
Draws33
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-11-34-10-4
Biggest losses1-24-00-54-0
Goals For4344
Goals Against4455

Model comparison

MetricNewport CityTreowen Stars
Form44%56%
Att41%59%
Def48%52%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total47.0%53.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Treowen Stars

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Newport City = 1.66 (league 1.72), Treowen Stars = 1.28 (league 1.50)

Treowen Stars
0 1 2 3 4 5
Newport City 0 5.3% 6.8% 4.3% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2%
1 8.8% 11.2% 7.2% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.3% 9.3% 6.0% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2%
3 4.0% 5.2% 3.3% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.1% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.7% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.6% · Draw 24.1% · Away win 29.4%

vtt 1 , vtd1