Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 14:00 • Cwrt-yr-Ala
Not Started
Expected Goals
3.41 (league 1.72) 0.64 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
75.0% 8.2% 3.7%
best score tips
3 - 0
11.5%
2 - 0
10.1%
4 - 0
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Cwmbran Celtic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caerau (Ely) 0 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.9% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.1% 6.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.5% 7.4% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.8% 6.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 6.7% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCaerau (Ely)Cwmbran Celtic
Played55
Form80%0%
Attack86%23%
Defense77%27%
Goals For (tot | avg)19 | 3.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 116 | 3.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Caerau (Ely) Cwmbran Celtic
HATHAT
Played141327111223
Wins64%54%59%0%0%0%
Draws14%15%15%18%25%22%
Loses21%31%26%82%75%78%

Form: Caerau (Ely): WDWWWLDWWWWLLDWLWDLWWLLWWWW • Cwmbran Celtic: LLLLDDLDLLLLLLDLDLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Caerau (Ely) Cwmbran Celtic
HATHAT
GF total2932619918
GF avg2.12.52.30.80.80.8
GA total171633283361
GA avg1.21.21.22.52.82.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCaerau (Ely)Cwmbran Celtic
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.589%63%57%100%
1.563%30%22%83%
2.537%26%0%39%
3.526%4%0%26%
4.511%0%0%9%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCaerau (Ely)Cwmbran Celtic
HATHAT
Clean sheets5510000
Failed to score1234610

Penalties

MetricCaerau (Ely)Cwmbran Celtic
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total81

Streaks

MetricCaerau (Ely)Cwmbran Celtic
Wins40
Draws12
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-10-5——
Biggest losses3-43-00-47-0
Goals For4522
Goals Against4357

Model comparison

MetricCaerau (Ely)Cwmbran Celtic
Form100%0%
Att79%21%
Def76%24%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h40%60%
Goals52%48%
Total66.0%34.0%

Advice: Combo Winner : Caerau (Ely) and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.08 @ Bet365
Draw16.32 @ Pinnacle
Away56.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.34 @ Marathonbet
No1.55 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.54.33 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Caerau (Ely) = 3.41 (league 1.72), Cwmbran Celtic = 0.64 (league 1.50)

Cwmbran Celtic
0 1 2 3 4 5
Caerau (Ely) 0 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.9% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 10.1% 6.5% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.5% 7.4% 2.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.8% 6.3% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 6.7% 4.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 75.0% · Draw 8.2% · Away win 3.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1