Sat, Mar 21 2026 • 14:00 • Richmond Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.71) 0.53 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.3% 35.1% 19.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
22.0%
1 - 0
21.6%
0 - 1
11.7%
Score & goals probability table
Ynyshir Albions
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carmarthen Town 0 22.0% 11.7% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.6% 11.5% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.6% 5.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCarmarthen TownYnyshir Albions
Played55
Form67%47%
Attack76%48%
Defense29%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 37 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Carmarthen Town Ynyshir Albions
HATHAT
Played131326131225
Wins31%46%38%15%25%20%
Draws54%31%42%31%8%20%
Loses15%23%19%54%67%60%

Form: Carmarthen Town: WWDWDLDWDDWWDLDLLDDWDLWDWW • Ynyshir Albions: LWDDLLLLDLLLLLWWLLDLLLDWW

League goals

Metric Carmarthen Town Ynyshir Albions
HATHAT
GF total112637121224
GF avg0.82.01.40.91.01.0
GA total102333232548
GA avg0.81.81.31.82.11.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCarmarthen TownYnyshir Albions
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%65%60%76%
1.531%35%20%64%
2.519%19%12%32%
3.515%8%4%16%
4.54%0%0%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCarmarthen TownYnyshir Albions
HATHAT
Clean sheets549516
Failed to score4375510

Penalties

MetricCarmarthen TownYnyshir Albions
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total41

Streaks

MetricCarmarthen TownYnyshir Albions
Wins22
Draws22
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-44-01-3
Biggest losses0-23-00-54-0
Goals For2543
Goals Against2454

Model comparison

MetricCarmarthen TownYnyshir Albions
Form59%41%
Att62%38%
Def32%68%
Poisson Distribution64%36%
H2h100%0%
Goals90%10%
Total61.4%38.6%

Advice: Double chance : Carmarthen Town or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Bet365
Draw4.33 @ Pinnacle
Away5.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.53 @ William Hill
No2.32 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.52 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Carmarthen Town = 0.98 (league 1.71), Ynyshir Albions = 0.53 (league 1.50)

Ynyshir Albions
0 1 2 3 4 5
Carmarthen Town 0 22.0% 11.7% 3.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.6% 11.5% 3.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 10.6% 5.6% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 3.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.3% · Draw 35.1% · Away win 19.5%

vtt 1 , vtd1