Fri, Mar 27 2026 • 19:30 • USW Sports Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.37 (league 1.71) 3.03 (league 1.48)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.4% 8.2% 80.6%
best score tips
0 - 3
15.5%
0 - 2
15.3%
0 - 4
11.8%
Score & goals probability table
Trefelin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pontypridd Town 0 3.3% 10.1% 15.3% 15.5% 11.8% 7.1%
1 1.2% 3.7% 5.6% 5.7% 4.3% 2.6%
2 0.2% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPontypridd TownTrefelin
Played55
Form47%80%
Attack85%92%
Defense8%62%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Pontypridd Town Trefelin
HATHAT
Played131326141226
Wins46%15%31%71%92%81%
Draws0%38%19%14%8%12%
Loses54%46%50%14%0%8%

Form: Pontypridd Town: LLDLLWLDWLLLWDWDLLLWWWLDWL • Trefelin: WLWWDDWWDWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWLW

League goals

Metric Pontypridd Town Trefelin
HATHAT
GF total271542313061
GF avg2.11.21.62.22.52.3
GA total24224611415
GA avg1.81.71.80.80.30.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePontypridd TownTrefelin
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%81%88%35%
1.550%58%81%12%
2.519%27%42%8%
3.512%12%19%4%
4.512%0%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPontypridd TownTrefelin
HATHAT
Clean sheets3259817
Failed to score3710303

Penalties

MetricPontypridd TownTrefelin
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total48

Streaks

MetricPontypridd TownTrefelin
Wins315
Draws12
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-02-54-00-5
Biggest losses0-43-00-4—
Goals For7545
Goals Against4441

Model comparison

MetricPontypridd TownTrefelin
Form37%63%
Att48%52%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution11%89%
H2h71%29%
Goals55%45%
Total41.8%58.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Trefelin and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.25 @ BetVictor
Draw4.90 @ Pinnacle
Away1.58 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ William Hill
No2.10 @ BetVictor

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.25 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Pontypridd Town = 0.37 (league 1.71), Trefelin = 3.03 (league 1.48)

Trefelin
0 1 2 3 4 5
Pontypridd Town 0 3.3% 10.1% 15.3% 15.5% 11.8% 7.1%
1 1.2% 3.7% 5.6% 5.7% 4.3% 2.6%
2 0.2% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.4% · Draw 8.2% · Away win 80.6%

vtt 1 , vtd1