Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 14:00 • The New Oval
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.15 (league 1.70) 1.19 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.7% 28.1% 37.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.2%
0 - 1
11.5%
1 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Newtown AFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Holyhead Hotspur 0 9.6% 11.5% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.0% 13.2% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.3% 7.6% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricHolyhead HotspurNewtown AFC
Played55
Form40%60%
Attack22%50%
Defense83%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.68 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Holyhead Hotspur Newtown AFC
HATHAT
Played131326131225
Wins46%8%27%62%50%56%
Draws15%23%19%15%8%12%
Loses38%69%54%23%42%32%

Form: Holyhead Hotspur: LLDLLDDDLLWLWWWLWLLDLWLWLL • Newtown AFC: WWWDWLWWLWWWWDLDLLLWWLWLW

League goals

Metric Holyhead Hotspur Newtown AFC
HATHAT
GF total201434281846
GF avg1.51.11.32.21.51.8
GA total153146191635
GA avg1.22.41.81.51.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineHolyhead HotspurNewtown AFC
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%85%72%80%
1.531%42%56%40%
2.527%27%28%12%
3.54%19%16%4%
4.54%4%8%4%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricHolyhead HotspurNewtown AFC
HATHAT
Clean sheets314325
Failed to score369347

Penalties

MetricHolyhead HotspurNewtown AFC
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricHolyhead HotspurNewtown AFC
Wins34
Draws31
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-16-12-5
Biggest losses1-34-00-53-0
Goals For3565
Goals Against3553

Model comparison

MetricHolyhead HotspurNewtown AFC
Form40%60%
Att31%69%
Def73%27%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h0%100%
Goals0%100%
Total48.0%52.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Newtown AFC

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Holyhead Hotspur = 1.15 (league 1.70), Newtown AFC = 1.19 (league 1.51)

Newtown AFC
0 1 2 3 4 5
Holyhead Hotspur 0 9.6% 11.5% 6.9% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
1 11.0% 13.2% 7.9% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2%
2 6.3% 7.6% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
3 2.4% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 0.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.7% · Draw 28.1% · Away win 37.0%

vtt 1 , vtd1