Sat, Mar 28 2026 • 14:00 • Evans Bevans Playing Fields Q
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.27 (league 1.70) 2.14 (league 1.50)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
21.9% 20.6% 55.1%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.6%
1 - 1
9.0%
0 - 2
7.6%
Score & goals probability table
Carmarthen Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baglan Dragons 0 3.3% 7.1% 7.6% 5.4% 2.9% 1.2%
1 4.2% 9.0% 9.6% 6.9% 3.7% 1.6%
2 2.7% 5.7% 6.1% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0%
3 1.1% 2.4% 2.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBaglan DragonsCarmarthen Town
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack17%89%
Defense39%28%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.616 | 3.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.213 | 2.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Baglan Dragons Carmarthen Town
HATHAT
Played131528141327
Wins23%13%18%29%46%37%
Draws38%27%32%57%31%44%
Loses38%60%50%14%23%19%

Form: Baglan Dragons: WLDLDDDLLDDLWWLLWDDLLLLWLLLD • Carmarthen Town: WWDWDLDWDDWWDLDLLDDWDLWDWWD

League goals

Metric Baglan Dragons Carmarthen Town
HATHAT
GF total16925112637
GF avg1.20.60.90.82.01.4
GA total212243102333
GA avg1.61.51.50.71.81.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBaglan DragonsCarmarthen Town
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%75%70%63%
1.521%39%30%33%
2.514%25%19%19%
3.50%11%15%7%
4.50%4%4%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBaglan DragonsCarmarthen Town
HATHAT
Clean sheets3476410
Failed to score6713538

Penalties

MetricBaglan DragonsCarmarthen Town
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total24

Streaks

MetricBaglan DragonsCarmarthen Town
Wins22
Draws32
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-22-10-4
Biggest losses0-54-10-23-0
Goals For3225
Goals Against5424

Model comparison

MetricBaglan DragonsCarmarthen Town
Form27%73%
Att16%84%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution35%65%
H2h36%64%
Goals45%55%
Total35.5%64.5%

Advice: Combo Winner : Carmarthen Town and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.89 @ 1xBet
Draw3.80 @ Superbet
Away1.85 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.73 @ Bet365
Under 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Superbet
No2.20 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Baglan Dragons = 1.27 (league 1.70), Carmarthen Town = 2.14 (league 1.50)

Carmarthen Town
0 1 2 3 4 5
Baglan Dragons 0 3.3% 7.1% 7.6% 5.4% 2.9% 1.2%
1 4.2% 9.0% 9.6% 6.9% 3.7% 1.6%
2 2.7% 5.7% 6.1% 4.3% 2.3% 1.0%
3 1.1% 2.4% 2.6% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.4% 0.8% 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 21.9% · Draw 20.6% · Away win 55.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1