Fri, Apr 3 2026 • 18:30 •
Ammanford Recreation Ground
Expected Goals
1.41 (league 1.70)
0.72 (league 1.51)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 53.3% | 27.4% | 19.0% |
best score tips
1 - 0
16.8%
1 - 1
12.0%
0 - 0
11.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Newport City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ammanford AFC | 0 | 11.9% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.8% | 12.0% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.9% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Ammanford AFC | Newport City |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 87% | 20% |
| Attack | 41% | 15% |
| Defense | 85% | 63% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 4 | 0.8 | 10 | 2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
74%
FT probability
2.5+
52%
FT probability
3.5+
37%
FT probability
BTTS
65%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Ammanford AFC | Newport City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 14 | 28 |
| Wins | 64% | 43% | 54% | 29% | 36% | 32% |
| Draws | 29% | 36% | 32% | 50% | 21% | 36% |
| Loses | 7% | 21% | 14% | 21% | 43% | 32% |
Form: Ammanford AFC: WWDWDWLDDDWDWDWWWWLLDWLWWWDW • Newport City: WWDDDWWLDLWDDLDWDDLLWWDLLLLW
League goals
| Metric | Ammanford AFC | Newport City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 20 | 43 | 19 | 17 | 36 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 1.4 | 1.5 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.3 |
| GA total | 12 | 13 | 25 | 18 | 21 | 39 |
| GA avg | 0.9 | 0.9 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.5 | 1.4 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Ammanford AFC | Newport City | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 75% | 54% | 71% | 75% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 21% | 39% | 36% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 11% | 14% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 7% | 4% | 4% | 11% |
| 4.5 | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Ammanford AFC | Newport City | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 6 | 7 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 8 |
Penalties
| Metric | Ammanford AFC | Newport City |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 1 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 1 |
Streaks
| Metric | Ammanford AFC | Newport City |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 3 | 3 |
| Losses | 2 | 4 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-0 | 1-5 | 2-1 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-1 | 2-3 | 4-0 |
| Goals For | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 3 | 4 | 4 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Ammanford AFC | Newport City |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 81% | 19% |
| Att | 73% | 27% |
| Def | 71% | 29% |
| Poisson Distribution | 66% | 34% |
| H2h | 13% | 88% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 55.5% | 44.7% |
Advice: Double chance : Ammanford AFC or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Ammanford AFC = 1.41 (league 1.70), Newport City = 0.72 (league 1.51)
| Newport City | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Ammanford AFC | 0 | 11.9% | 8.5% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 16.8% | 12.0% | 4.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 11.9% | 8.5% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 53.3% · Draw 27.4% · Away win 19.0%
vtt 1 , vtd1