Sat, Apr 18 2026 • 11:30 •
USW Sports Park
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 1.77)
3.42 (league 1.45)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 11.0% | 12.5% | 63.2% |
best score tips
1 - 3
7.6%
1 - 2
6.7%
1 - 4
6.5%
Score & goals probability table
| Caerau (Ely) | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Pontypridd Town | 0 | 0.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% |
| 1 | 1.1% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 4.4% | |
| 2 | 0.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | |
| 3 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.5% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Pontypridd Town | Caerau (Ely) |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 87% |
| Attack | 52% | 67% |
| Defense | 48% | 95% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 14 | 2.8 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 1 | 0.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.80
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.10
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
72%
FT probability
3.5+
51%
FT probability
BTTS
74%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
0-0
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Pontypridd Town | Caerau (Ely) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 16 | 14 | 30 |
| Wins | 43% | 20% | 31% | 63% | 57% | 60% |
| Draws | 0% | 40% | 21% | 19% | 14% | 17% |
| Loses | 57% | 40% | 48% | 19% | 29% | 23% |
Pontypridd TownLLDLLWLDWLLLWDWDLLLWWWLDWLLWD
Caerau (Ely)WDWWWLDWWWWLLDWLWDLWWLLWWWWDWW
League goals
| Metric | Pontypridd Town | Caerau (Ely) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 28 | 18 | 46 | 31 | 36 | 67 |
| GF avg | 2.0 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 1.9 | 2.6 | 2.2 |
| GA total | 27 | 24 | 51 | 17 | 17 | 34 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 1.6 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Pontypridd Town | Caerau (Ely) | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 66% | 79% | 87% | 60% |
| 1.5 | 48% | 59% | 63% | 27% |
| 2.5 | 17% | 28% | 37% | 23% |
| 3.5 | 10% | 10% | 27% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 0% | 10% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Pontypridd Town | Caerau (Ely) | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 3 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 12 |
| Failed to score | 3 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 4 |
Penalties
| Metric | Pontypridd Town | Caerau (Ely) |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 4 | 100.00% | 9 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 4 | 9 |
Streaks
| Metric | Pontypridd Town | Caerau (Ely) |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 3 | 4 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 7-0 | 2-5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Biggest losses | 0-4 | 3-0 | 3-4 | 3-0 |
| Goals For | 7 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Pontypridd Town | Caerau (Ely) |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 35% | 65% |
| Att | 44% | 56% |
| Def | 8% | 92% |
| Poisson Distribution | 28% | 72% |
| H2h | 62% | 38% |
| Goals | 50% | 50% |
| Total | 37.8% | 62.2% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home6.00 @ BetVictor
Draw5.57 @ Pinnacle
Away1.44 @ Betfair
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes1.57 @ William Hill
No2.45 @ BetVictor
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.51.39 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.00 @ Bet365
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League standings
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