Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 16:00 • Stadion przy Drodze Dębińskiej
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.32 (league 1.55) 1.27 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.9% 19.2% 19.6%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 1
8.1%
2 - 0
7.4%
Score & goals probability table
Stal Stalowa Wola
0 1 2 3 4 5
Warta Poznań 0 2.8% 3.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.4% 8.1% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.4% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.8% 7.3% 4.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 3.3% 4.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWarta PoznańStal Stalowa Wola
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack50%81%
Defense69%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.613 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 110 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

83%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Warta Poznań Stal Stalowa Wola
HATHAT
Played2810549
Wins100%13%30%60%25%44%
Draws0%63%50%40%50%44%
Loses0%25%20%0%25%11%

Form: Warta Poznań: LLDDDDDWWW • Stal Stalowa Wola: DWWDDLWWD

League goals

Metric Warta Poznań Stal Stalowa Wola
HATHAT
GF total491314721
GF avg2.01.11.32.81.82.3
GA total210127714
GA avg1.01.31.21.41.81.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWarta PoznańStal Stalowa Wola
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%70%100%89%
1.530%50%56%56%
2.510%0%33%11%
3.50%0%22%0%
4.50%0%22%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWarta PoznańStal Stalowa Wola
HATHAT
Clean sheets123101
Failed to score011000

Penalties

MetricWarta PoznańStal Stalowa Wola
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricWarta PoznańStal Stalowa Wola
Wins02
Draws52
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-15-22-3
Biggest losses2-13-2
Goals For3253
Goals Against2223

Model comparison

MetricWarta PoznańStal Stalowa Wola
Form58%42%
Att38%62%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h80%20%
Goals100%0%
Total61.6%38.4%

Advice: Double chance : Warta Poznań or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away2.85 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.73 @ Bet365
No2.14 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.95 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.90 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Warta Poznań = 2.32 (league 1.55), Stal Stalowa Wola = 1.27 (league 1.42)

Stal Stalowa Wola
0 1 2 3 4 5
Warta Poznań 0 2.8% 3.5% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
1 6.4% 8.1% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
2 7.4% 9.4% 6.0% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 5.8% 7.3% 4.6% 2.0% 0.6% 0.2%
4 3.3% 4.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
5 1.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.9% · Draw 19.2% · Away win 19.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1