Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 15:00 • ArcelorMittal Park
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.25 (league 1.55) 0.79 (league 1.42)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.1% 10.1% 5.6%
best score tips
3 - 0
10.1%
2 - 0
9.3%
4 - 0
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Jastrzębie
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0 1.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.7% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.3% 7.3% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.1% 7.9% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 8.2% 6.5% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.3% 4.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricZaglebie SosnowiecJastrzębie
Played55
Form67%13%
Attack61%17%
Defense67%44%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

71%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Zaglebie Sosnowiec Jastrzębie
HATHAT
Played46105510
Wins25%50%40%0%0%0%
Draws25%33%30%60%0%30%
Loses50%17%30%40%100%70%

Form: Zaglebie Sosnowiec: WLLDDDLWWW • Jastrzębie: LDLLLDDLLL

League goals

Metric Zaglebie Sosnowiec Jastrzębie
HATHAT
GF total7916628
GF avg1.81.51.61.20.40.8
GA total1161781422
GA avg2.81.01.71.62.82.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineZaglebie SosnowiecJastrzębie
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.580%90%70%100%
1.550%30%10%70%
2.530%30%0%50%
3.50%10%0%0%
4.50%10%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricZaglebie SosnowiecJastrzębie
HATHAT
Clean sheets101000
Failed to score112033

Penalties

MetricZaglebie SosnowiecJastrzębie
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricZaglebie SosnowiecJastrzębie
Wins10
Draws32
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-3
Biggest losses1-51-02-33-0
Goals For3321
Goals Against5133

Model comparison

MetricZaglebie SosnowiecJastrzębie
Form83%17%
Att79%21%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h71%29%
Goals70%30%
Total74.5%25.7%

Advice: Winner : Zaglebie Sosnowiec

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.45 @ Unibet
Draw4.75 @ Superbet
Away7.70 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.68 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.27 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Betano
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Zaglebie Sosnowiec = 3.25 (league 1.55), Jastrzębie = 0.79 (league 1.42)

Jastrzębie
0 1 2 3 4 5
Zaglebie Sosnowiec 0 1.8% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.7% 4.5% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 9.3% 7.3% 2.9% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
3 10.1% 7.9% 3.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
4 8.2% 6.5% 2.5% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
5 5.3% 4.2% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.1% · Draw 10.1% · Away win 5.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1