Fri, Mar 13 2026 • 19:00 • Stadion Respect Energy
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.24 (league 1.54) 0.51 (league 1.40)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.6% 8.2% 3.1%
best score tips
3 - 0
13.3%
2 - 0
12.3%
4 - 0
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Jastrzębie
0 1 2 3 4 5
Warta Poznań 0 2.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.6% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.3% 6.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.3% 6.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.8% 5.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.0% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricWarta PoznańJastrzębie
Played55
Form53%13%
Attack46%23%
Defense62%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.23 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 112 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Warta Poznań Jastrzębie
HATHAT
Played111122101121
Wins73%27%50%0%0%0%
Draws18%55%36%40%27%33%
Loses9%18%14%60%73%67%

Form: Warta Poznań: LLDDDDDWWWWWWWDWWWLWDD • Jastrzębie: LDLLLDDLLLLLLDDLDLDLL

League goals

Metric Warta Poznań Jastrzębie
HATHAT
GF total2215379716
GF avg2.01.41.70.90.60.8
GA total131326202747
GA avg1.21.21.22.02.52.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineWarta PoznańJastrzębie
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.591%73%57%100%
1.550%45%19%67%
2.523%0%0%38%
3.55%0%0%10%
4.50%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricWarta PoznańJastrzębie
HATHAT
Clean sheets336000
Failed to score112369

Penalties

MetricWarta PoznańJastrzębie
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricWarta PoznańJastrzębie
Wins70
Draws52
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-20-2
Biggest losses0-22-11-55-0
Goals For4322
Goals Against2255

Model comparison

MetricWarta PoznańJastrzębie
Form80%20%
Att67%33%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution86%14%
H2h75%25%
Goals67%33%
Total74.3%25.7%

Advice: Winner : Warta Poznań

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.18 @ William Hill
Draw6.17 @ Pinnacle
Away14.00 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.47 @ Pinnacle
No1.55 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.62 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.35 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Warta Poznań = 3.24 (league 1.54), Jastrzębie = 0.51 (league 1.40)

Jastrzębie
0 1 2 3 4 5
Warta Poznań 0 2.3% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 7.6% 3.9% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.3% 6.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.3% 6.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 10.8% 5.5% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 7.0% 3.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.6% · Draw 8.2% · Away win 3.1%

vtt 1 , vtd1