Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 19:30 • Estádio de São Miguel
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.05 (league 1.37) 0.84 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.2% 43.0% 54.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
41.2%
0 - 1
34.5%
0 - 2
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Estrela
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Clara 0 41.2% 34.5% 14.4% 4.0% 0.8% 0.1%
1 2.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanta ClaraEstrela
Played23
Form0%22%
Attack0%23%
Defense69%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)0 | 03 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 24 | 1.3

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

52%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santa Clara Estrela
HATHAT
Played112213
Wins0%0%0%0%0%0%
Draws0%0%0%50%100%67%
Loses100%100%100%50%0%33%

Form: Santa Clara: LL • Estrela: DLD

League goals

Metric Santa Clara Estrela
HATHAT
GF total000213
GF avg0.00.00.01.01.01.0
GA total134314
GA avg1.03.02.01.51.01.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanta ClaraEstrela
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.50%100%67%100%
1.50%50%33%33%
2.50%50%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanta ClaraEstrela
HATHAT
Clean sheets000000
Failed to score112101

Penalties

MetricSanta ClaraEstrela
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricSanta ClaraEstrela
Wins00
Draws01
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins
Biggest losses0-13-00-1
Goals For0021
Goals Against1321

Model comparison

MetricSanta ClaraEstrela
Form0%100%
Att0%100%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h80%20%
Goals100%0%
Total65.0%35.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Estrela and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.98 @ Betano
Draw3.35 @ Unibet
Away4.75 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.84 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.45 @ Pinnacle
No1.62 @ 888Sport
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Santa Clara = 0.05 (league 1.37), Estrela = 0.84 (league 1.20)

Estrela
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Clara 0 41.2% 34.5% 14.4% 4.0% 0.8% 0.1%
1 2.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.2% · Draw 43.0% · Away win 54.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1