Sat, Sep 20 2025 • 14:30 • Estádio de São Miguel
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.37) 0.63 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.8% 41.7% 30.5%
best score tips
0 - 0
29.7%
0 - 1
18.7%
1 - 0
17.4%
Score & goals probability table
Alverca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Clara 0 29.7% 18.7% 5.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.4% 10.9% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.1% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanta ClaraAlverca
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack18%45%
Defense55%18%
Goals For (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 19 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

59%
FT probability

2.5+

41%
FT probability

3.5+

29%
FT probability

BTTS

59%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santa Clara Alverca
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins0%33%20%33%0%20%
Draws50%33%40%0%50%20%
Loses50%33%40%67%50%60%

Form: Santa Clara: LLDWD • Alverca: LLDLW

League goals

Metric Santa Clara Alverca
HATHAT
GF total022235
GF avg0.00.70.40.71.51.0
GA total145549
GA avg0.51.31.01.72.01.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanta ClaraAlverca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.540%60%80%80%
1.50%20%20%80%
2.50%20%0%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanta ClaraAlverca
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score213101

Penalties

MetricSanta ClaraAlverca
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricSanta ClaraAlverca
Wins10
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-11-0
Biggest losses0-13-00-32-1
Goals For0112
Goals Against1332

Model comparison

MetricSanta ClaraAlverca
Form56%44%
Att29%71%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total49.7%50.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Alverca and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.79 @ 1xBet
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away5.60 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.56 @ 188Bet
No1.66 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.56 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.55 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santa Clara = 0.59 (league 1.37), Alverca = 0.63 (league 1.20)

Alverca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Clara 0 29.7% 18.7% 5.8% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
1 17.4% 10.9% 3.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.1% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.8% · Draw 41.7% · Away win 30.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1