Mon, Sep 22 2025 • 19:15 • Estádio José Alvalade
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.56 (league 1.37) 0.42 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
79.0% 12.2% 4.2%
best score tips
2 - 0
16.7%
3 - 0
14.2%
1 - 0
13.0%
Score & goals probability table
Moreirense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP 0 5.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.0% 5.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.7% 7.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.2% 5.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.1% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting CPMoreirense
Played55
Form80%80%
Attack100%89%
Defense56%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 38 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

87%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

44%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting CP Moreirense
HATHAT
Played235325
Wins50%100%80%100%50%80%
Draws0%0%0%0%0%0%
Loses50%0%20%0%50%20%

Form: Sporting CP: WWWLW • Moreirense: WWWLW

League goals

Metric Sporting CP Moreirense
HATHAT
GF total7815718
GF avg3.52.73.02.30.51.6
GA total224224
GA avg1.00.70.80.71.00.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting CPMoreirense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%60%80%60%
1.580%20%60%20%
2.540%0%20%0%
3.540%0%0%0%
4.520%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting CPMoreirense
HATHAT
Clean sheets112112
Failed to score000011

Penalties

MetricSporting CPMoreirense
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricSporting CPMoreirense
Wins33
Draws00
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-43-10-1
Biggest losses1-22-0
Goals For6431
Goals Against2112

Model comparison

MetricSporting CPMoreirense
Form50%50%
Att65%35%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution87%13%
H2h80%20%
Goals79%21%
Total68.5%31.5%

Advice: Winner : Sporting CP

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.24 @ Betano
Draw7.81 @ Pinnacle
Away15.00 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.57 @ Betano
Under 2.52.63 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ Unibet
No1.73 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sporting CP = 2.56 (league 1.37), Moreirense = 0.42 (league 1.20)

Moreirense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP 0 5.1% 2.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.0% 5.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 16.7% 7.0% 1.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 14.2% 5.9% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 9.1% 3.8% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.7% 2.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 79.0% · Draw 12.2% · Away win 4.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1