Mon, Sep 29 2025 • 19:00 • Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.44 (league 1.37) 3.85 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
1.5% 4.9% 74.4%
best score tips
0 - 3
13.1%
0 - 4
12.6%
0 - 2
10.2%
Score & goals probability table
FC Porto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arouca 0 1.4% 5.3% 10.2% 13.1% 12.6% 9.7%
1 0.6% 2.3% 4.5% 5.7% 5.5% 4.2%
2 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 0.9%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAroucaFC Porto
Played55
Form33%100%
Attack86%100%
Defense0%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.212 | 2.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.61 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

94%
FT probability

2.5+

66%
FT probability

3.5+

47%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arouca FC Porto
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%33%33%100%100%100%
Draws33%33%33%0%0%0%
Loses33%33%33%0%0%0%

Form: Arouca: WLDDLW • FC Porto: WWWWWW

League goals

Metric Arouca FC Porto
HATHAT
GF total6398715
GF avg2.01.01.52.72.32.5
GA total6814011
GA avg2.02.72.30.00.30.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAroucaFC Porto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.567%100%100%17%
1.550%50%83%0%
2.533%33%50%0%
3.50%17%17%0%
4.50%17%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAroucaFC Porto
HATHAT
Clean sheets000325
Failed to score112000

Penalties

MetricAroucaFC Porto
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricAroucaFC Porto
Wins16
Draws20
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-24-00-3
Biggest losses0-26-0
Goals For3243
Goals Against3601

Model comparison

MetricAroucaFC Porto
Form25%75%
Att33%67%
Def7%93%
Poisson Distribution11%89%
H2h29%71%
Goals29%71%
Total22.3%77.7%

Advice: Winner : FC Porto

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home14.00 @ Betfair
Draw6.30 @ Betano
Away1.32 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.63 @ SBO
Under 2.52.46 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Unibet
No1.78 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arouca = 0.44 (league 1.37), FC Porto = 3.85 (league 1.20)

FC Porto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arouca 0 1.4% 5.3% 10.2% 13.1% 12.6% 9.7%
1 0.6% 2.3% 4.5% 5.7% 5.5% 4.2%
2 0.1% 0.5% 1.0% 1.3% 1.2% 0.9%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 1.5% · Draw 4.9% · Away win 74.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1