Fri, Sep 26 2025 • 19:15 • Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.37 (league 1.37) 0.59 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.2% 47.2% 33.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
38.3%
0 - 1
22.4%
1 - 0
14.3%
Score & goals probability table
GIL Vicente
0 1 2 3 4 5
Benfica 0 38.3% 22.4% 6.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.3% 8.4% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBenficaGIL Vicente
Played55
Form73%67%
Attack100%56%
Defense67%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

51%
FT probability

2.5+

36%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

54%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Benfica GIL Vicente
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%100%67%67%67%67%
Draws67%0%33%0%33%17%
Loses0%0%0%33%0%17%

Form: Benfica: WWWDWD • GIL Vicente: WLDWWW

League goals

Metric Benfica GIL Vicente
HATHAT
GF total5611437
GF avg1.72.01.81.31.01.2
GA total213202
GA avg0.70.30.50.70.00.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBenficaGIL Vicente
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%50%67%17%
1.550%0%50%17%
2.533%0%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBenficaGIL Vicente
HATHAT
Clean sheets123235
Failed to score000112

Penalties

MetricBenficaGIL Vicente
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricBenficaGIL Vicente
Wins31
Draws11
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-32-00-2
Biggest losses0-2
Goals For3322
Goals Against1120

Model comparison

MetricBenficaGIL Vicente
Form52%48%
Att67%33%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h100%0%
Goals84%16%
Total60.8%39.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Benfica or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.33 @ Bet365
Draw5.47 @ Pinnacle
Away11.67 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.32 @ Pinnacle
No1.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.76 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.52.14 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Benfica = 0.37 (league 1.37), GIL Vicente = 0.59 (league 1.20)

GIL Vicente
0 1 2 3 4 5
Benfica 0 38.3% 22.4% 6.6% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.3% 8.4% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 2.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.2% · Draw 47.2% · Away win 33.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1