Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 17:00 • Estádio Municipal de Braga
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.86 (league 1.38) 0.81 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.3% 34.4% 31.3%
best score tips
0 - 0
18.8%
1 - 0
16.2%
0 - 1
15.2%
Score & goals probability table
Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Braga 0 18.8% 15.2% 6.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.2% 13.1% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 7.0% 5.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSC BragaNacional
Played55
Form40%27%
Attack62%38%
Defense54%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric SC Braga Nacional
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%33%33%0%33%17%
Draws33%67%50%0%33%17%
Loses33%0%17%100%33%67%

Form: SC Braga: WWDDLD • Nacional: LDLWLL

League goals

Metric SC Braga Nacional
HATHAT
GF total5611235
GF avg1.72.01.80.71.00.8
GA total3368210
GA avg1.01.01.02.70.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSC BragaNacional
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%67%67%83%
1.567%33%17%50%
2.533%0%0%17%
3.50%0%0%17%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSC BragaNacional
HATHAT
Clean sheets112011
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricSC BragaNacional
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total31

Streaks

MetricSC BragaNacional
Wins21
Draws21
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-3—0-2
Biggest losses0-1—1-41-0
Goals For3312
Goals Against2241

Model comparison

MetricSC BragaNacional
Form60%40%
Att62%38%
Def57%43%
Poisson Distribution50%50%
H2h93%7%
Goals82%18%
Total67.3%32.7%

Advice: Double chance : SC Braga or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.47 @ Betano
Draw4.70 @ Unibet
Away8.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.85 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.07 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Pinnacle
No1.81 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): SC Braga = 0.86 (league 1.38), Nacional = 0.81 (league 1.24)

Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
SC Braga 0 18.8% 15.2% 6.2% 1.7% 0.3% 0.1%
1 16.2% 13.1% 5.3% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 7.0% 5.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
3 2.0% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.3% · Draw 34.4% · Away win 31.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1