Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 15:30 • Estádio de São Miguel
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.18 (league 1.36) 0.17 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
63.2% 31.3% 5.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
30.5%
0 - 0
25.7%
2 - 0
18.0%
Score & goals probability table
Tondela
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Clara 0 25.7% 4.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.5% 5.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.0% 3.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSanta ClaraTondela
Played55
Form53%13%
Attack33%17%
Defense75%42%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.82 | 0.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

53%
FT probability

2.5+

37%
FT probability

3.5+

26%
FT probability

BTTS

49%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Santa Clara Tondela
HATHAT
Played336336
Wins33%33%33%0%0%0%
Draws33%33%33%67%0%33%
Loses33%33%33%33%100%67%

Form: Santa Clara: LLDWDW • Tondela: LLLDLD

League goals

Metric Santa Clara Tondela
HATHAT
GF total224202
GF avg0.70.70.70.70.00.3
GA total2463710
GA avg0.71.31.01.02.31.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSanta ClaraTondela
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.550%67%17%83%
1.517%17%17%50%
2.50%17%0%33%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSanta ClaraTondela
HATHAT
Clean sheets112101
Failed to score213235

Penalties

MetricSanta ClaraTondela
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricSanta ClaraTondela
Wins10
Draws11
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-10-1——
Biggest losses0-13-00-13-0
Goals For2120
Goals Against1323

Model comparison

MetricSanta ClaraTondela
Form80%20%
Att67%33%
Def70%30%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h62%38%
Goals50%50%
Total65.8%34.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Santa Clara or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.76 @ 1xBet
Draw3.55 @ Pinnacle
Away5.73 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.49 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.58 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.34 @ Pinnacle
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Santa Clara = 1.18 (league 1.36), Tondela = 0.17 (league 1.21)

Tondela
0 1 2 3 4 5
Santa Clara 0 25.7% 4.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 30.5% 5.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 18.0% 3.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 7.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.2% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 5.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1