Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 17:00 • Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves
Match Finished

AVS

1 - 3
Expected Goals
0.87 (league 1.38) 2.16 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
13.8% 19.1% 64.7%
best score tips
0 - 2
11.3%
0 - 1
10.5%
1 - 2
9.8%
Score & goals probability table
Alverca
0 1 2 3 4 5
AVS 0 4.8% 10.5% 11.3% 8.2% 4.4% 1.9%
1 4.2% 9.1% 9.8% 7.1% 3.8% 1.7%
2 1.8% 3.9% 4.2% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAVSAlverca
Played55
Form7%47%
Attack20%47%
Defense20%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

55%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric AVS Alverca
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins0%0%0%50%0%29%
Draws0%25%14%0%33%14%
Loses100%75%86%50%67%57%

Form: AVS: LLDLLLL • Alverca: LLDLWLW

League goals

Metric AVS Alverca
HATHAT
GF total044448
GF avg0.01.00.61.01.31.1
GA total611175611
GA avg2.02.82.41.32.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAVSAlverca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.543%100%86%71%
1.514%86%29%71%
2.50%57%0%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAVSAlverca
HATHAT
Clean sheets000202
Failed to score314101

Penalties

MetricAVSAlverca
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total02

Streaks

MetricAVSAlverca
Wins01
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins——2-0—
Biggest losses0-33-00-32-1
Goals For0222
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricAVSAlverca
Form13%88%
Att30%70%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution0%100%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total25.3%75.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Alverca

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.05 @ Unibet
Draw3.20 @ 188Bet
Away2.59 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.55 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.58 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.11 @ Pinnacle
No1.77 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): AVS = 0.87 (league 1.38), Alverca = 2.16 (league 1.20)

Alverca
0 1 2 3 4 5
AVS 0 4.8% 10.5% 11.3% 8.2% 4.4% 1.9%
1 4.2% 9.1% 9.8% 7.1% 3.8% 1.7%
2 1.8% 3.9% 4.2% 3.1% 1.7% 0.7%
3 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.8% · Draw 19.1% · Away win 64.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1