Fri, Oct 3 2025 • 19:15 • Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.37) 1.85 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.3% 20.7% 68.8%
best score tips
0 - 1
17.6%
0 - 2
16.2%
0 - 3
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
Estoril
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casa Pia 0 9.5% 17.6% 16.2% 10.0% 4.6% 1.7%
1 4.8% 8.9% 8.2% 5.0% 2.3% 0.9%
2 1.2% 2.2% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCasa PiaEstoril
Played55
Form27%27%
Attack50%63%
Defense0%13%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

77%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

39%
FT probability

BTTS

69%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Casa Pia Estoril
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins0%50%29%25%0%14%
Draws33%0%14%25%33%29%
Loses67%50%57%50%67%57%

Form: Casa Pia: LWLLWDL • Estoril: DLDLWLL

League goals

Metric Casa Pia Estoril
HATHAT
GF total156448
GF avg0.31.30.91.01.31.1
GA total56114711
GA avg1.71.51.61.02.31.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCasa PiaEstoril
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%71%57%100%
1.529%57%43%43%
2.50%14%14%14%
3.50%14%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCasa PiaEstoril
HATHAT
Clean sheets022000
Failed to score213213

Penalties

MetricCasa PiaEstoril
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCasa PiaEstoril
Wins11
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins0-23-1
Biggest losses0-24-00-12-0
Goals For1232
Goals Against2413

Model comparison

MetricCasa PiaEstoril
Form50%50%
Att44%56%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution24%76%
H2h38%62%
Goals36%64%
Total39.3%60.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Estoril

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.62 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.34 @ Pinnacle
Away2.84 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ 188Bet
No2.04 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Casa Pia = 0.50 (league 1.37), Estoril = 1.85 (league 1.20)

Estoril
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casa Pia 0 9.5% 17.6% 16.2% 10.0% 4.6% 1.7%
1 4.8% 8.9% 8.2% 5.0% 2.3% 0.9%
2 1.2% 2.2% 2.1% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.3% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 68.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1