Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 20:15 • Estádio Do Dragão
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.59 (league 1.37) 0.17 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
39.5% 51.5% 8.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
46.8%
1 - 0
27.7%
2 - 0
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Benfica
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Porto 0 46.8% 7.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.7% 4.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.2% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC PortoBenfica
Played55
Form100%73%
Attack78%50%
Defense94%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.89 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)1 | 0.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

0.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Porto Benfica
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins100%100%100%50%100%71%
Draws0%0%0%50%0%29%
Loses0%0%0%0%0%0%

Form: FC Porto: WWWWWWW • Benfica: WWWDWDW

League goals

Metric FC Porto Benfica
HATHAT
GF total811197613
GF avg2.72.82.71.82.01.9
GA total011314
GA avg0.00.30.10.80.30.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC PortoBenfica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%14%100%57%
1.586%0%57%0%
2.557%0%29%0%
3.529%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC PortoBenfica
HATHAT
Clean sheets336123
Failed to score000000

Penalties

MetricFC PortoBenfica
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricFC PortoBenfica
Wins73
Draws01
Losses00

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-43-00-3
Biggest losses
Goals For4433
Goals Against0111

Model comparison

MetricFC PortoBenfica
Form58%42%
Att61%39%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution100%0%
H2h20%80%
Goals39%61%
Total51.6%48.4%

Advice: Double chance : FC Porto or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Betano
Draw3.45 @ 188Bet
Away3.95 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.06 @ 188Bet
Under 2.51.87 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No2.08 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Porto = 0.59 (league 1.37), Benfica = 0.17 (league 1.20)

Benfica
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Porto 0 46.8% 7.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 27.7% 4.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 8.2% 1.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 39.5% · Draw 51.5% · Away win 8.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1