Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 16:30 • Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.46 (league 1.37) 0.84 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
51.5% 26.6% 21.5%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.7%
1 - 1
12.3%
2 - 0
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Tondela
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rio Ave 0 10.0% 8.4% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.7% 12.3% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.7% 9.0% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.2% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricRio AveTondela
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack22%22%
Defense50%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

76%
FT probability

2.5+

54%
FT probability

3.5+

38%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Rio Ave Tondela
HATHAT
Played347347
Wins0%0%0%0%25%14%
Draws67%75%71%67%0%29%
Loses33%25%29%33%75%57%

Form: Rio Ave: DDDLLDD • Tondela: LLLDLDW

League goals

Metric Rio Ave Tondela
HATHAT
GF total358224
GF avg1.01.31.10.70.50.6
GA total67133811
GA avg2.01.81.91.02.01.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineRio AveTondela
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%86%29%86%
1.529%57%29%43%
2.514%43%0%29%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricRio AveTondela
HATHAT
Clean sheets011101
Failed to score112235

Penalties

MetricRio AveTondela
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total11

Streaks

MetricRio AveTondela
Wins00
Draws31
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-2
Biggest losses0-33-10-13-0
Goals For2322
Goals Against3323

Model comparison

MetricRio AveTondela
Form38%63%
Att50%50%
Def44%56%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h50%50%
Goals47%53%
Total49.0%51.2%

Advice: Double chance : Rio Ave or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.59 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.50 @ 188Bet
Away2.85 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.00 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.91 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.77 @ 188Bet
No2.21 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Rio Ave = 1.46 (league 1.37), Tondela = 0.84 (league 1.20)

Tondela
0 1 2 3 4 5
Rio Ave 0 10.0% 8.4% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.7% 12.3% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.0%
2 10.7% 9.0% 3.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.2% 4.4% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 51.5% · Draw 26.6% · Away win 21.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1