Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 18:15 • Estádio José Alvalade
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.41 (league 1.37) 1.17 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
61.2% 18.2% 16.8%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.5%
2 - 0
8.1%
1 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
SC Braga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP 0 2.8% 3.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 6.7% 7.8% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.1% 9.5% 5.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.5% 7.6% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.9% 4.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting CPSC Braga
Played55
Form80%20%
Attack61%28%
Defense78%61%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

92%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

71%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting CP SC Braga
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins67%100%86%25%33%29%
Draws0%0%0%25%67%43%
Loses33%0%14%50%0%29%

Form: Sporting CP: WWWLWWW • SC Braga: WWDDLDL

League goals

Metric Sporting CP SC Braga
HATHAT
GF total109195611
GF avg3.32.32.71.32.01.6
GA total224437
GA avg0.70.50.61.01.01.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting CPSC Braga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%43%71%71%
1.571%14%57%29%
2.543%0%29%0%
3.529%0%0%0%
4.514%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting CPSC Braga
HATHAT
Clean sheets224112
Failed to score000202

Penalties

MetricSporting CPSC Braga
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricSporting CPSC Braga
Wins32
Draws02
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-43-00-3
Biggest losses1-20-1
Goals For6433
Goals Against2122

Model comparison

MetricSporting CPSC Braga
Form80%20%
Att69%31%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h62%38%
Goals69%31%
Total69.0%31.0%

Advice: Double chance : Sporting CP or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.50 @ Betano
Draw4.86 @ Pinnacle
Away7.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ Betano
Under 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.89 @ 188Bet
No2.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sporting CP = 2.41 (league 1.37), SC Braga = 1.17 (league 1.20)

SC Braga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP 0 2.8% 3.2% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
1 6.7% 7.8% 4.6% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 8.1% 9.5% 5.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.1%
3 6.5% 7.6% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 3.9% 4.6% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
5 1.9% 2.2% 1.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 61.2% · Draw 18.2% · Away win 16.8%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1