Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 19:30 • Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.63 (league 1.36) 0.75 (league 1.21)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
57.6% 24.6% 17.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.1%
2 - 0
12.3%
1 - 1
11.3%
Score & goals probability table
Santa Clara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guimaraes 0 9.3% 7.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.1% 11.3% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.2% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.6% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuimaraesSanta Clara
Played55
Form33%53%
Attack27%33%
Defense60%73%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

67%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guimaraes Santa Clara
HATHAT
Played347437
Wins33%25%29%25%33%29%
Draws67%0%29%25%33%29%
Loses0%75%43%50%33%43%

Form: Guimaraes: LWLDWDL • Santa Clara: LLDWDWL

League goals

Metric Guimaraes Santa Clara
HATHAT
GF total527325
GF avg1.70.51.00.80.70.7
GA total4711448
GA avg1.31.81.61.01.31.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuimaraesSanta Clara
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.557%86%57%71%
1.529%57%14%29%
2.514%14%0%14%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuimaraesSanta Clara
HATHAT
Clean sheets011112
Failed to score033213

Penalties

MetricGuimaraesSanta Clara
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total13

Streaks

MetricGuimaraesSanta Clara
Wins11
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-22-10-1
Biggest losses—3-01-23-0
Goals For3221
Goals Against2323

Model comparison

MetricGuimaraesSanta Clara
Form38%62%
Att44%56%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution69%31%
H2h71%29%
Goals70%30%
Total55.3%44.7%

Advice: Double chance : Guimaraes or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.18 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.05 @ 188Bet
Away2.74 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.40 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.37 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ Bet365
No1.61 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Guimaraes = 1.63 (league 1.36), Santa Clara = 0.75 (league 1.21)

Santa Clara
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guimaraes 0 9.3% 7.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.1% 11.3% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 12.3% 9.2% 3.5% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.6% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.7% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 57.6% · Draw 24.6% · Away win 17.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1