Fri, Oct 24 2025 • 19:15 • FC Alverca Sports Complex
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.37 (league 1.37) 1.09 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
12.4% 33.7% 53.9%
best score tips
0 - 1
25.4%
0 - 0
23.4%
0 - 2
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
GIL Vicente
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alverca 0 23.4% 25.4% 13.8% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3%
1 8.6% 9.3% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 1.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlvercaGIL Vicente
Played55
Form60%80%
Attack80%80%
Defense50%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 12 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

57%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alverca GIL Vicente
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins50%25%38%75%50%63%
Draws0%25%13%0%25%13%
Loses50%50%50%25%25%25%

Form: Alverca: LLDLWLWW • GIL Vicente: WLDWWWLW

League goals

Metric Alverca GIL Vicente
HATHAT
GF total47116410
GF avg1.01.81.41.51.01.3
GA total5712224
GA avg1.31.81.50.50.50.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlvercaGIL Vicente
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%75%75%25%
1.538%63%50%25%
2.513%13%0%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlvercaGIL Vicente
HATHAT
Clean sheets202336
Failed to score101112

Penalties

MetricAlvercaGIL Vicente
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricAlvercaGIL Vicente
Wins13
Draws11
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-00-2
Biggest losses0-32-10-22-1
Goals For2322
Goals Against3222

Model comparison

MetricAlvercaGIL Vicente
Form43%57%
Att50%50%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution26%74%
H2h0%0%
Goals0%0%
Total37.0%63.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or GIL Vicente

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.96 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away2.62 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.05 @ Bet365
No1.76 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.50 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.55 @ Marathonbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Alverca = 0.37 (league 1.37), GIL Vicente = 1.09 (league 1.20)

GIL Vicente
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alverca 0 23.4% 25.4% 13.8% 5.0% 1.4% 0.3%
1 8.6% 9.3% 5.1% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1%
2 1.6% 1.7% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 12.4% · Draw 33.7% · Away win 53.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1