Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 19:30 • Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Not Started
Expected Goals
3.56 (league 1.37) 0.67 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
73.8% 7.6% 3.5%
best score tips
3 - 0
11.0%
4 - 0
9.7%
2 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Arouca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Benfica 0 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.2% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.2% 6.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.0% 7.3% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.7% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 6.9% 4.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBenficaArouca
Played55
Form60%33%
Attack70%40%
Defense70%10%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.69 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

86%
FT probability

2.5+

61%
FT probability

3.5+

43%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Benfica Arouca
HATHAT
Played448538
Wins50%75%63%20%33%25%
Draws50%25%38%40%33%38%
Loses0%0%0%40%33%38%

Form: Benfica: WWWDWDWD • Arouca: WLDDLWLD

League goals

Metric Benfica Arouca
HATHAT
GF total76137310
GF avg1.81.51.61.41.01.3
GA total31411819
GA avg0.80.30.52.22.72.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBenficaArouca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.588%50%63%100%
1.550%0%38%50%
2.525%0%25%38%
3.50%0%0%25%
4.50%0%0%13%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBenficaArouca
HATHAT
Clean sheets134000
Failed to score011213

Penalties

MetricBenficaArouca
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricBenficaArouca
Wins31
Draws12
Losses01

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-11-2
Biggest losses0-46-0
Goals For3332
Goals Against1146

Model comparison

MetricBenficaArouca
Form64%36%
Att64%36%
Def75%25%
Poisson Distribution85%15%
H2h93%7%
Goals88%13%
Total78.2%22.0%

Advice: Winner : Benfica

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.22 @ William Hill
Draw7.84 @ Pinnacle
Away15.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Betano
Under 2.52.88 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ Unibet
No1.80 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Benfica = 3.56 (league 1.37), Arouca = 0.67 (league 1.20)

Arouca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Benfica 0 1.5% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 5.2% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 9.2% 6.2% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.0% 7.3% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 9.7% 6.5% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
5 6.9% 4.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 73.8% · Draw 7.6% · Away win 3.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1