Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 15:30 • Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Not Started
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Expected Goals
0.36 (league 1.38) 0.83 (league 1.20)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.2% 40.1% 44.6%
best score tips
0 - 0
30.3%
0 - 1
25.2%
1 - 0
11.0%
Score & goals probability table
Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estoril 0 30.3% 25.2% 10.5% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.0% 9.1% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 2.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEstorilNacional
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack45%64%
Defense36%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Estoril Nacional
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%0%13%25%50%38%
Draws25%50%38%0%25%13%
Loses50%50%50%75%25%50%

Form: Estoril: DLDLWLLD • Nacional: LDLWLLWW

League goals

Metric Estoril Nacional
HATHAT
GF total4610549
GF avg1.01.51.31.31.01.1
GA total491310212
GA avg1.02.31.62.50.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEstorilNacional
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%100%75%75%
1.550%50%25%50%
2.513%13%13%13%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEstorilNacional
HATHAT
Clean sheets000022
Failed to score213112

Penalties

MetricEstorilNacional
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricEstorilNacional
Wins11
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—3-20-2
Biggest losses0-12-01-41-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against1341

Model comparison

MetricEstorilNacional
Form31%69%
Att42%58%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h62%38%
Goals55%45%
Total44.0%56.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nacional and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ Dafabet
Away3.35 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.82 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ Betfair
No1.97 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Estoril = 0.36 (league 1.38), Nacional = 0.83 (league 1.20)

Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estoril 0 30.3% 25.2% 10.5% 2.9% 0.6% 0.1%
1 11.0% 9.1% 3.8% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
2 2.0% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.2% · Draw 40.1% · Away win 44.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1