Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 15:30 • Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.37 (league 1.37) 0.80 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
15.7% 40.9% 43.4%
best score tips
0 - 0
31.1%
0 - 1
25.0%
1 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estoril 0 31.1% 25.0% 10.0% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.4% 9.1% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 2.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricEstorilNacional
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack36%50%
Defense50%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Estoril Nacional
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins25%0%13%25%50%38%
Draws25%50%38%0%25%13%
Loses50%50%50%75%25%50%

Form: Estoril: DLDLWLLD • Nacional: LDLWLLWW

League goals

Metric Estoril Nacional
HATHAT
GF total4610549
GF avg1.01.51.31.31.01.1
GA total491310212
GA avg1.02.31.62.50.51.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineEstorilNacional
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%100%75%75%
1.550%50%25%50%
2.513%13%13%13%
3.50%0%0%13%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricEstorilNacional
HATHAT
Clean sheets000022
Failed to score213112

Penalties

MetricEstorilNacional
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total03

Streaks

MetricEstorilNacional
Wins11
Draws11
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-1—3-20-2
Biggest losses0-12-01-41-0
Goals For3232
Goals Against1341

Model comparison

MetricEstorilNacional
Form31%69%
Att42%58%
Def42%58%
Poisson Distribution30%70%
H2h62%38%
Goals55%45%
Total43.7%56.3%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Nacional and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.34 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.55 @ Dafabet
Away3.30 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.12 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.88 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.84 @ 188Bet
No2.02 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Estoril = 0.37 (league 1.37), Nacional = 0.80 (league 1.24)

Nacional
0 1 2 3 4 5
Estoril 0 31.1% 25.0% 10.0% 2.7% 0.5% 0.1%
1 11.4% 9.1% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 2.1% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 15.7% · Draw 40.9% · Away win 43.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1