Mon, Oct 27 2025 • 20:15 • Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.50 (league 1.37) 1.80 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
9.7% 21.3% 68.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
18.0%
0 - 2
16.2%
0 - 0
10.0%
Score & goals probability table
FC Porto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moreirense 0 10.0% 18.0% 16.2% 9.7% 4.4% 1.6%
1 5.0% 9.0% 8.1% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
2 1.3% 2.3% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMoreirenseFC Porto
Played55
Form40%87%
Attack50%71%
Defense29%93%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 21 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Moreirense FC Porto
HATHAT
Played448448
Wins100%25%63%75%100%88%
Draws0%0%0%25%0%13%
Loses0%75%38%0%0%0%

Form: Moreirense: WWWLWLWL • FC Porto: WWWWWWWD

League goals

Metric Moreirense FC Porto
HATHAT
GF total931281119
GF avg2.30.81.52.02.82.4
GA total3811011
GA avg0.82.01.40.00.30.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMoreirenseFC Porto
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%75%88%13%
1.563%38%75%0%
2.513%25%50%0%
3.50%0%25%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMoreirenseFC Porto
HATHAT
Clean sheets112437
Failed to score022101

Penalties

MetricMoreirenseFC Porto
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total01

Streaks

MetricMoreirenseFC Porto
Wins37
Draws00
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-14-00-4
Biggest losses—3-0——
Goals For3244
Goals Against1301

Model comparison

MetricMoreirenseFC Porto
Form32%68%
Att41%59%
Def9%91%
Poisson Distribution19%81%
H2h20%80%
Goals18%82%
Total23.2%76.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or FC Porto

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home12.70 @ 1xBet
Draw6.20 @ 1xBet
Away1.31 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.35 @ Superbet
No1.65 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Moreirense = 0.50 (league 1.37), FC Porto = 1.80 (league 1.24)

FC Porto
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moreirense 0 10.0% 18.0% 16.2% 9.7% 4.4% 1.6%
1 5.0% 9.0% 8.1% 4.9% 2.2% 0.8%
2 1.3% 2.3% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.2%
3 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 9.7% · Draw 21.3% · Away win 68.0%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1