Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.47 (league 1.37) 0.43 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.5% 49.3% 24.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
40.7%
1 - 0
19.0%
0 - 1
17.6%
Score & goals probability table
Estrela
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casa Pia 0 40.7% 17.6% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.0% 8.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCasa PiaEstrela
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack43%29%
Defense36%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.24 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

60%
FT probability

2.5+

42%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Casa Pia Estrela
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins0%40%22%20%0%11%
Draws50%0%22%20%75%44%
Loses50%60%56%60%25%44%

Form: Casa Pia: LWLLWDLDL • Estrela: DLDDLDWLL

League goals

Metric Casa Pia Estrela
HATHAT
GF total358617
GF avg0.81.00.91.20.30.8
GA total710177310
GA avg1.82.01.91.40.81.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCasa PiaEstrela
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%78%44%67%
1.533%67%22%44%
2.50%22%11%0%
3.50%22%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCasa PiaEstrela
HATHAT
Clean sheets022123
Failed to score224235

Penalties

MetricCasa PiaEstrela
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total10

Streaks

MetricCasa PiaEstrela
Wins11
Draws12
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—0-23-0—
Biggest losses0-24-00-22-0
Goals For2231
Goals Against2422

Model comparison

MetricCasa PiaEstrela
Form56%44%
Att60%40%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total50.3%49.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Casa Pia or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.36 @ 1xBet
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away3.55 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.13 @ 188Bet
No1.79 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.42 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.62 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Casa Pia = 0.47 (league 1.37), Estrela = 0.43 (league 1.25)

Estrela
0 1 2 3 4 5
Casa Pia 0 40.7% 17.6% 3.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 19.0% 8.2% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 4.4% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.5% · Draw 49.3% · Away win 24.2%

Vtot 7 , Vtod1