Fri, Oct 31 2025 • 20:15 • Estádio José Alvalade
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.67 (league 1.37) 1.16 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.9% 10.0% 7.3%
best score tips
3 - 1
7.6%
4 - 1
7.0%
3 - 0
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Alverca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP 0 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.9% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
2 5.4% 6.2% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.6% 7.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 6.1% 7.0% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
5 4.4% 5.1% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting CPAlverca
Played55
Form87%60%
Attack71%50%
Defense86%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.47 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

67%
FT probability

3.5+

48%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting CP Alverca
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%100%78%40%25%33%
Draws25%0%11%0%25%11%
Loses25%0%11%60%50%56%

Form: Sporting CP: WWWLWWWDW • Alverca: LLDLWLWWL

League goals

Metric Sporting CP Alverca
HATHAT
GF total1112234711
GF avg2.82.42.60.81.81.2
GA total3259716
GA avg0.80.40.61.81.81.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting CPAlverca
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%44%78%78%
1.567%11%33%67%
2.544%0%11%22%
3.522%0%0%11%
4.511%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting CPAlverca
HATHAT
Clean sheets235202
Failed to score000202

Penalties

MetricSporting CPAlverca
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total32

Streaks

MetricSporting CPAlverca
Wins32
Draws11
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-42-01-3
Biggest losses1-2—0-42-1
Goals For6423
Goals Against2142

Model comparison

MetricSporting CPAlverca
Form59%41%
Att59%41%
Def78%22%
Poisson Distribution76%24%
H2h50%50%
Goals63%38%
Total64.2%36.0%

Advice: Double chance : Sporting CP or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.16 @ Betano
Draw10.10 @ 1xBet
Away24.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.45 @ Betano
Under 2.53.10 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.57 @ Pinnacle
No1.60 @ Betano
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sporting CP = 3.67 (league 1.37), Alverca = 1.16 (league 1.24)

Alverca
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP 0 0.8% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 2.9% 3.4% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
2 5.4% 6.2% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
3 6.6% 7.6% 4.4% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 6.1% 7.0% 4.1% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
5 4.4% 5.1% 3.0% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.9% · Draw 10.0% · Away win 7.3%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1