Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 20:30 • Estádio Dom Afonso Henriques
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.39 (league 1.37) 1.57 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
8.9% 24.2% 66.4%
best score tips
0 - 1
22.1%
0 - 2
17.3%
0 - 0
14.1%
Score & goals probability table
Benfica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guimaraes 0 14.1% 22.1% 17.3% 9.1% 3.6% 1.1%
1 5.5% 8.7% 6.8% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
2 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGuimaraesBenfica
Played55
Form47%73%
Attack36%79%
Defense57%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 111 | 2.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.22 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Guimaraes Benfica
HATHAT
Played459549
Wins50%20%33%60%75%67%
Draws50%0%22%40%25%33%
Loses0%80%44%0%0%0%

Form: Guimaraes: LWLDWDLWL • Benfica: WWWDWDWDW

League goals

Metric Guimaraes Benfica
HATHAT
GF total72912618
GF avg1.80.41.02.41.52.0
GA total5914314
GA avg1.31.81.60.60.30.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGuimaraesBenfica
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%89%89%44%
1.533%56%56%0%
2.511%11%33%0%
3.50%0%11%0%
4.50%0%11%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGuimaraesBenfica
HATHAT
Clean sheets011235
Failed to score044011

Penalties

MetricGuimaraesBenfica
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total16

Streaks

MetricGuimaraesBenfica
Wins13
Draws11
Losses10

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-25-00-3
Biggest losses—3-0——
Goals For3253
Goals Against2311

Model comparison

MetricGuimaraesBenfica
Form39%61%
Att31%69%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution17%83%
H2h7%93%
Goals17%83%
Total22.7%77.3%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Benfica

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.04 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.75 @ Bet365
Away1.47 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.20 @ Bet365
No1.90 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.98 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.92 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Guimaraes = 0.39 (league 1.37), Benfica = 1.57 (league 1.24)

Benfica
0 1 2 3 4 5
Guimaraes 0 14.1% 22.1% 17.3% 9.1% 3.6% 1.1%
1 5.5% 8.7% 6.8% 3.6% 1.4% 0.4%
2 1.1% 1.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1%
3 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 8.9% · Draw 24.2% · Away win 66.4%

Vtot 6 , Vtod1