Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 15:30 • FC Alverca Sports Complex
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.93 (league 1.37) 2.02 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
16.6% 20.8% 60.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
10.6%
0 - 1
10.5%
1 - 2
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Rio Ave
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alverca 0 5.2% 10.5% 10.6% 7.2% 3.6% 1.5%
1 4.9% 9.8% 9.9% 6.7% 3.4% 1.4%
2 2.3% 4.6% 4.6% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6%
3 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAlvercaRio Ave
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack35%35%
Defense47%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

83%
FT probability

2.5+

58%
FT probability

3.5+

41%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Alverca Rio Ave
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins40%20%30%20%20%20%
Draws0%20%10%40%60%50%
Loses60%60%60%40%20%30%

Form: Alverca: LLDLWLWWLL • Rio Ave: DDDLLDDWWL

League goals

Metric Alverca Rio Ave
HATHAT
GF total47116713
GF avg0.81.41.11.21.41.3
GA total991810818
GA avg1.81.81.82.01.61.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAlvercaRio Ave
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.570%80%70%80%
1.530%70%40%50%
2.510%20%20%40%
3.50%10%0%10%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAlvercaRio Ave
HATHAT
Clean sheets202112
Failed to score213213

Penalties

MetricAlvercaRio Ave
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricAlvercaRio Ave
Wins22
Draws13
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-33-01-2
Biggest losses0-42-00-43-1
Goals For2333
Goals Against4243

Model comparison

MetricAlvercaRio Ave
Form43%57%
Att50%50%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution32%68%
H2h20%80%
Goals40%60%
Total37.5%62.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Rio Ave

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.24 @ 1xBet
Draw3.30 @ Bet365
Away3.65 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.25 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.73 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.95 @ Bet365
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Alverca = 0.93 (league 1.37), Rio Ave = 2.02 (league 1.25)

Rio Ave
0 1 2 3 4 5
Alverca 0 5.2% 10.5% 10.6% 7.2% 3.6% 1.5%
1 4.9% 9.8% 9.9% 6.7% 3.4% 1.4%
2 2.3% 4.6% 4.6% 3.1% 1.6% 0.6%
3 0.7% 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 16.6% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 60.9%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1