Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 20:30 • Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.50 (league 1.37) 0.48 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.8% 6.6% 2.3%
best score tips
3 - 0
13.3%
4 - 0
11.7%
2 - 0
11.4%
Score & goals probability table
Casa Pia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Benfica 0 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.5% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.4% 5.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.3% 6.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.7% 5.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.2% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricBenficaCasa Pia
Played55
Form73%13%
Attack79%50%
Defense86%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.27 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.414 | 2.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

84%
FT probability

2.5+

59%
FT probability

3.5+

42%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Benfica Casa Pia
HATHAT
Played55105510
Wins60%80%70%0%40%20%
Draws40%20%30%40%0%20%
Loses0%0%0%60%60%60%

Form: Benfica: WWWDWDWDWW • Casa Pia: LWLLWDLDLL

League goals

Metric Benfica Casa Pia
HATHAT
GF total129216511
GF avg2.41.82.11.21.01.1
GA total314121022
GA avg0.60.20.42.42.02.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineBenficaCasa Pia
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.590%40%60%80%
1.560%0%40%70%
2.540%0%10%30%
3.510%0%0%30%
4.510%0%0%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricBenficaCasa Pia
HATHAT
Clean sheets246022
Failed to score011224

Penalties

MetricBenficaCasa Pia
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total61

Streaks

MetricBenficaCasa Pia
Wins31
Draws11
Losses02

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-00-3—0-2
Biggest losses——3-54-0
Goals For5332
Goals Against1154

Model comparison

MetricBenficaCasa Pia
Form85%15%
Att61%39%
Def88%13%
Poisson Distribution88%12%
H2h71%29%
Goals69%31%
Total77.0%23.2%

Advice: Winner : Benfica

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.22 @ Betano
Draw8.20 @ Pinnacle
Away17.00 @ Betano

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.70 @ 1xBet
Under 2.52.26 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.75 @ Unibet
No1.55 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Benfica = 3.50 (league 1.37), Casa Pia = 0.48 (league 1.24)

Casa Pia
0 1 2 3 4 5
Benfica 0 1.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 6.5% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
2 11.4% 5.5% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.3% 6.4% 1.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 11.7% 5.6% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 8.2% 3.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.8% · Draw 6.6% · Away win 2.3%

Vtot 9 , Vtod3