Sat, Nov 8 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio João Cardoso
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.65 (league 1.37) 0.48 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.1% 43.1% 22.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
32.1%
1 - 0
21.0%
0 - 1
15.5%
Score & goals probability table
Guimaraes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tondela 0 32.1% 15.5% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.0% 10.1% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.9% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTondelaGuimaraes
Played55
Form33%27%
Attack24%18%
Defense47%47%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.83 | 0.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

0.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tondela Guimaraes
HATHAT
Played46105510
Wins0%17%10%40%20%30%
Draws50%17%30%40%0%20%
Loses50%67%60%20%80%50%

Form: Tondela: LLLDLDWLLD • Guimaraes: LWLDWDLWLL

League goals

Metric Tondela Guimaraes
HATHAT
GF total246729
GF avg0.50.70.61.40.40.9
GA total613198917
GA avg1.52.21.91.61.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTondelaGuimaraes
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.530%90%50%90%
1.530%60%30%60%
2.50%40%10%20%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTondelaGuimaraes
HATHAT
Clean sheets101011
Failed to score347145

Penalties

MetricTondelaGuimaraes
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total21

Streaks

MetricTondelaGuimaraes
Wins11
Draws11
Losses31

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins—1-23-20-2
Biggest losses0-33-00-33-0
Goals For2232
Goals Against3333

Model comparison

MetricTondelaGuimaraes
Form56%44%
Att57%43%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h62%38%
Goals47%53%
Total55.0%45.0%

Advice: Double chance : Tondela or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.85 @ Unibet
Draw3.28 @ 1xBet
Away2.71 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.28 @ 1xBet
Under 2.51.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ 188Bet
No1.96 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tondela = 0.65 (league 1.37), Guimaraes = 0.48 (league 1.25)

Guimaraes
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tondela 0 32.1% 15.5% 3.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
1 21.0% 10.1% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
2 6.9% 3.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
3 1.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.1% · Draw 43.1% · Away win 22.9%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1