Mon, Dec 1 2025 • 20:15 • Estádio Municipal de Arouca
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.02 (league 1.41) 2.81 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
10.9% 14.6% 67.9%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.7%
0 - 2
8.6%
1 - 3
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
SC Braga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arouca 0 2.2% 6.1% 8.6% 8.0% 5.6% 3.2%
1 2.2% 6.2% 8.7% 8.2% 5.7% 3.2%
2 1.1% 3.2% 4.5% 4.2% 2.9% 1.6%
3 0.4% 1.1% 1.5% 1.4% 1.0% 0.6%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAroucaSC Braga
Played55
Form7%47%
Attack36%73%
Defense0%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.88 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)16 | 3.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

91%
FT probability

2.5+

64%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Arouca SC Braga
HATHAT
Played65116511
Wins17%20%18%50%20%36%
Draws33%20%27%17%60%36%
Loses50%60%55%33%20%27%

Form: Arouca: WLDDLWLDLLL • SC Braga: WWDDLDLDWLW

League goals

Metric Arouca SC Braga
HATHAT
GF total761311819
GF avg1.21.21.21.81.61.7
GA total1317305611
GA avg2.23.42.70.81.21.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAroucaSC Braga
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%100%82%73%
1.536%64%55%27%
2.527%45%27%0%
3.50%36%9%0%
4.50%18%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAroucaSC Braga
HATHAT
Clean sheets000213
Failed to score325202

Penalties

MetricAroucaSC Braga
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total06

Streaks

MetricAroucaSC Braga
Wins12
Draws22
Losses11

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-11-24-00-3
Biggest losses0-46-00-12-1
Goals For3343
Goals Against4622

Model comparison

MetricAroucaSC Braga
Form13%88%
Att33%67%
Def24%76%
Poisson Distribution27%73%
H2h20%80%
Goals42%58%
Total26.5%73.7%

Advice: Winner : SC Braga

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home7.50 @ Bet365
Draw4.52 @ Pinnacle
Away1.52 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.88 @ 188Bet
Under 2.52.08 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.97 @ Pinnacle
No1.88 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Arouca = 1.02 (league 1.41), SC Braga = 2.81 (league 1.25)

SC Braga
0 1 2 3 4 5
Arouca 0 2.2% 6.1% 8.6% 8.0% 5.6% 3.2%
1 2.2% 6.2% 8.7% 8.2% 5.7% 3.2%
2 1.1% 3.2% 4.5% 4.2% 2.9% 1.6%
3 0.4% 1.1% 1.5% 1.4% 1.0% 0.6%
4 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 10.9% · Draw 14.6% · Away win 67.9%

vtt 10 , vtd1