Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:30 •
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior
Expected Goals
1.49 (league 1.45)
2.82 (league 1.19)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 17.8% | 16.5% | 58.6% |
best score tips
1 - 2
7.9%
1 - 3
7.5%
2 - 2
5.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Alverca | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Casa Pia | 0 | 1.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| 1 | 2.0% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | |
| 3 | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | |
| 4 | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | |
| 5 | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
🔮
Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Casa Pia | Alverca |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 13% | 47% |
| Attack | 57% | 43% |
| Defense | 0% | 43% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 8 | 1.6 | 6 | 1.2 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 15 | 3 | 8 | 1.6 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.30
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
77%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
3-5
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Casa Pia | Alverca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 5 | 6 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 11 |
| Wins | 0% | 33% | 18% | 33% | 20% | 27% |
| Draws | 40% | 17% | 27% | 17% | 20% | 18% |
| Loses | 60% | 50% | 55% | 50% | 60% | 55% |
Casa PiaLWLLWDLDLLD
AlvercaLLDLWLWWLLD
League goals
| Metric | Casa Pia | Alverca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 6 | 7 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 12 |
| GF avg | 1.2 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 1.4 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 12 | 12 | 24 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| GA avg | 2.4 | 2.0 | 2.2 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.7 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Casa Pia | Alverca | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 64% | 82% | 73% | 82% |
| 1.5 | 45% | 73% | 27% | 64% |
| 2.5 | 9% | 27% | 9% | 18% |
| 3.5 | 0% | 27% | 0% | 9% |
| 4.5 | 0% | 9% | 0% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Casa Pia | Alverca | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Failed to score | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
Penalties
| Metric | Casa Pia | Alverca |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 1 | 100.00% | 2 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 1 | 2 |
Streaks
| Metric | Casa Pia | Alverca |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 2 | 2 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | — | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-3 |
| Biggest losses | 3-5 | 4-0 | 0-4 | 2-0 |
| Goals For | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Casa Pia | Alverca |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 22% | 78% |
| Att | 57% | 43% |
| Def | 35% | 65% |
| Poisson Distribution | 37% | 63% |
| H2h | 100% | 0% |
| Goals | 60% | 40% |
| Total | 42.2% | 57.8% |
💸
Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
Match Winner (Bet ID 1)
Home2.65 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.15 @ 188Bet
Away3.05 @ Pinnacle
Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)
Over 2.52.45 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.63 @ SBO
Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)
Yes2.01 @ Pinnacle
No1.85 @ Pinnacle
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League standings
Loading standings…