Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 20:30 • Estádio Cidade de Barcelos
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.24 (league 1.37) 0.22 (league 1.25)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
81.3% 13.3% 2.7%
best score tips
2 - 0
21.3%
1 - 0
19.0%
3 - 0
15.9%
Score & goals probability table
Tondela
0 1 2 3 4 5
GIL Vicente 0 8.5% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.0% 4.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.3% 4.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.9% 3.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.9% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGIL VicenteTondela
Played55
Form67%27%
Attack64%29%
Defense79%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

55%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric GIL Vicente Tondela
HATHAT
Played56115611
Wins80%50%64%0%17%9%
Draws0%33%18%40%17%27%
Loses20%17%18%60%67%64%

Form: GIL Vicente: WLDWWWLWWWD • Tondela: LLLDLDWLLDL

League goals

Metric GIL Vicente Tondela
HATHAT
GF total7916246
GF avg1.41.51.50.40.70.5
GA total23571320
GA avg0.40.50.51.42.21.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGIL VicenteTondela
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%27%27%91%
1.545%18%27%55%
2.59%0%0%36%
3.59%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGIL VicenteTondela
HATHAT
Clean sheets448101
Failed to score112448

Penalties

MetricGIL VicenteTondela
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricGIL VicenteTondela
Wins31
Draws11
Losses13

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-4—1-2
Biggest losses0-22-10-33-0
Goals For2422
Goals Against2233

Model comparison

MetricGIL VicenteTondela
Form71%29%
Att69%31%
Def77%23%
Poisson Distribution91%9%
H2h71%29%
Goals80%20%
Total76.5%23.5%

Advice: Double chance : GIL Vicente or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.71 @ 1xBet
Draw3.77 @ Pinnacle
Away5.60 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Betfair
Under 2.51.78 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.18 @ 188Bet
No1.82 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): GIL Vicente = 2.24 (league 1.37), Tondela = 0.22 (league 1.25)

Tondela
0 1 2 3 4 5
GIL Vicente 0 8.5% 1.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
1 19.0% 4.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
2 21.3% 4.8% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
3 15.9% 3.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.9% 2.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 81.3% · Draw 13.3% · Away win 2.7%

Vtot 8 , Vtod2