Sat, Nov 29 2025 • 15:30 • Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 1.38) 0.81 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
24.0% 38.1% 37.9%
best score tips
0 - 0
24.9%
0 - 1
20.2%
1 - 0
14.4%
Score & goals probability table
Famalicao
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moreirense 0 24.9% 20.2% 8.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.4% 11.7% 4.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 4.2% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMoreirenseFamalicao
Played55
Form40%53%
Attack57%29%
Defense43%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.62 | 0.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 6 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Moreirense Famalicao
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins80%33%55%33%60%45%
Draws0%0%0%33%40%36%
Loses20%67%45%33%0%18%

Form: Moreirense: WWWLWLWLLWL • Famalicao: WWDWLDDDWWL

League goals

Metric Moreirense Famalicao
HATHAT
GF total106166511
GF avg2.01.01.51.01.01.0
GA total51015325
GA avg1.01.71.40.50.40.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMoreirenseFamalicao
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.582%73%73%36%
1.555%45%18%9%
2.59%18%9%0%
3.50%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMoreirenseFamalicao
HATHAT
Clean sheets123437
Failed to score022303

Penalties

MetricMoreirenseFamalicao
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total00

Streaks

MetricMoreirenseFamalicao
Wins32
Draws03
Losses21

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-23-00-1
Biggest losses1-23-01-2—
Goals For3231
Goals Against2321

Model comparison

MetricMoreirenseFamalicao
Form43%57%
Att67%33%
Def20%80%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h29%71%
Goals33%67%
Total39.2%60.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Famalicao and -3.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.40 @ Unibet
Draw3.33 @ 1xBet
Away2.32 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.18 @ Betano
Under 2.51.76 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.91 @ Bet365
No1.98 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Moreirense = 0.58 (league 1.38), Famalicao = 0.81 (league 1.24)

Famalicao
0 1 2 3 4 5
Moreirense 0 24.9% 20.2% 8.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1%
1 14.4% 11.7% 4.7% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0%
2 4.2% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
3 0.8% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
4 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 24.0% · Draw 38.1% · Away win 37.9%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1