Sun, Nov 30 2025 • 18:00 • Estádio José Alvalade
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.26 (league 1.38) 0.58 (league 1.24)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
72.8% 16.4% 8.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
14.9%
1 - 0
13.2%
3 - 0
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Estrela
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP 0 5.8% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.2% 7.7% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.9% 8.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.2% 6.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.3% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSporting CPEstrela
Played55
Form87%47%
Attack64%71%
Defense86%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

79%
FT probability

2.5+

56%
FT probability

3.5+

40%
FT probability

BTTS

62%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sporting CP Estrela
HATHAT
Played56116511
Wins60%100%82%17%20%18%
Draws20%0%9%33%60%45%
Loses20%0%9%50%20%36%

Form: Sporting CP: WWWLWWWDWWW • Estrela: DLDDLDWLLWD

League goals

Metric Sporting CP Estrela
HATHAT
GF total1314277613
GF avg2.62.32.51.21.21.2
GA total3368614
GA avg0.60.50.51.31.21.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSporting CPEstrela
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.5100%45%55%73%
1.573%9%27%45%
2.536%0%18%9%
3.518%0%9%0%
4.59%0%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSporting CPEstrela
HATHAT
Clean sheets336123
Failed to score000235

Penalties

MetricSporting CPEstrela
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricSporting CPEstrela
Wins31
Draws12
Losses12

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-43-03-5
Biggest losses1-2—0-22-0
Goals For6435
Goals Against2123

Model comparison

MetricSporting CPEstrela
Form65%35%
Att47%53%
Def80%20%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h100%0%
Goals77%23%
Total70.0%30.0%

Advice: Double chance : Sporting CP or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.17 @ Betano
Draw9.38 @ Pinnacle
Away23.00 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Betano
Under 2.52.80 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.49 @ Pinnacle
No1.65 @ 10Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Sporting CP = 2.26 (league 1.38), Estrela = 0.58 (league 1.24)

Estrela
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sporting CP 0 5.8% 3.4% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
1 13.2% 7.7% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 14.9% 8.7% 2.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 11.2% 6.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 6.3% 3.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 2.9% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 72.8% · Draw 16.4% · Away win 8.0%

Vtot 9 , Vtod1